Economics
Fed ended 2026 with policy rate at 4.25 percent
The central bank delivered two 25-basis-point hikes, leaving rates unchanged at 4.25 percent and no cuts for the year.
50%
certain
The six months ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 19 Sept · not a record of events
Economics
The central bank delivered two 25-basis-point hikes, leaving rates unchanged at 4.25 percent and no cuts for the year.
Crypto
Each project fell short of its promised valuation on the first day after launch.
World
Iran kept Khamenei as its Head and continued its nuclear path without a deal, enrichment halt, or NPT exit.
Politics
Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister and Siegfried Mureșan took Romania's premiership, while Christopher Luxon remained New Zealand's leader.
World
China did not invade Taiwan, block its ports, or fight Japan in 2026.
World
Russia also avoided new mobilization and did not capture all of Kostyantynivka.
Politics
The United States stayed in NATO, the right became pro-AI, and no Ukraine ceasefire occurred before the midterms.
Science
The Doge-1 Lunar Mission failed to launch by year-end and GTA 6 did not release as promised.
Politics
Democrats also secured the CA-15 house seat and Karen Bass was elected Los Angeles mayor.
Politics
They also captured Maine and Alaska Senate seats and won over 230 house seats.
World
Save the Children won the Peace Prize and a U.S. economist secured the Economics Nobel, while a Trump parody award sparked controversy.
Politics
Netanyahu confirmed to stay prime minister through 2026, and he had not withdrawn from the September election deadline.
Politics
Lula won the presidency while the Liberal Party secured the most Senate seats.
Politics
United Russia secured a majority while Vladimir Putin stayed in office.
World
Israel closed its airspace by September 30 and kept its cease-fire with Iran alive through the same date.
Politics
The regime stayed intact, Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control, and the U.S. did not end the blockade by the end of September.
Science
Anthropic led September rankings for Overall model quality and LiveBench Mathematics scores.
Politics
The leaders met in Washington on September 29, marking the first such encounter this year.
Culture
Miley Cyrus' new Album debuted with 60-70 k first-week Sales, while Aiko and Langley claimed top spots on Billboard's charts.
Culture
Olivia Miles captured Rookie of the year while Gabby Williams earned Defensive player of the year.
Economics
The Fed kept rates unchanged on Wednesday, Mexico held its benchmark on Thursday, and the United States and China announced no new tariff cuts.
Politics
United Russia captured 325-339 seats while New People entered the Duma's top three.
Politics
SPD kept the state government with over 31% of the vote, while the CDU hovered just above the 5% entry line.
Economics
The central bank delivered two 25-basis-point hikes, leaving rates unchanged at 4.25 percent and no cuts for the year.
The Federal Reserve raised its target rate twice in 2026, each move adding 25 basis points. The hikes left the policy rate at 4.25 percent at the close of the year. No rate cuts were implemented during the twelve-month period.
In October, the Fed voted for a 25-basis-point increase, moving the rate from 4.00 to 4.25 percent.
Politics
The United States stayed in NATO, the right became pro-AI, and no Ukraine ceasefire occurred before the midterms.
Science
The Doge-1 Lunar Mission failed to launch by year-end and GTA 6 did not release as promised.
Politics
Democrats also secured the CA-15 house seat and Karen Bass was elected Los Angeles mayor.
Politics
They also captured Maine and Alaska Senate seats and won over 230 house seats.
World
Save the Children won the Peace Prize and a U.S. economist secured the Economics Nobel, while a Trump parody award sparked controversy.
Politics
Netanyahu confirmed to stay prime minister through 2026, and he had not withdrawn from the September election deadline.
Politics
Lula won the presidency while the Liberal Party secured the most Senate seats.
Politics
United Russia secured a majority while Vladimir Putin stayed in office.
World
Israel closed its airspace by September 30 and kept its cease-fire with Iran alive through the same date.
Politics
The regime stayed intact, Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control, and the U.S. did not end the blockade by the end of September.
Science
Anthropic led September rankings for Overall model quality and LiveBench Mathematics scores.
Politics
The leaders met in Washington on September 29, marking the first such encounter this year.
Culture
Miley Cyrus' new Album debuted with 60-70 k first-week Sales, while Aiko and Langley claimed top spots on Billboard's charts.
Culture
Olivia Miles captured Rookie of the year while Gabby Williams earned Defensive player of the year.
Economics
The Fed kept rates unchanged on Wednesday, Mexico held its benchmark on Thursday, and the United States and China announced no new tariff cuts.
Politics
United Russia captured 325-339 seats while New People entered the Duma's top three.
Politics
SPD kept the state government with over 31% of the vote, while the CDU hovered just above the 5% entry line.
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.