83%Bad Bunny topped Spotify while Morgan Wallen led Billboard 202658%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office85%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202669%Ukraine did not regain Crimea and cease-fire remained absent94%Putin, Trump, Zelenskyy and Infantino all remained in office through 202655%Chiang Wan-an won Taipei mayoral race78%2026 was the hottest year on record67%US Q3 2026 GDP grew above 3% as inflation eased84%Bank of England raised rates as Japan and Australia held steady77%NVIDIA became world's Largest company by end of October89%Middle east maritime routes and airspace stayed open through October53%Anthropic led AI benchmarks across agents, Code and Overall model

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 17 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 15 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 17 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Thursday, 15 April 2027.

Culture

Bad Bunny topped Spotify while Morgan Wallen led Billboard 2026

Bad Bunny was Spotify's most-streamed Artist and Morgan Wallen was Billboard's top act, while AI-generated tracks failed to reach the Hot 100 top 20.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 9%1 venuesettles Mon 1 Feb

Bad Bunny emerged as the most-streamed Artist on Spotify for 2026, while Morgan Wallen claimed the year-end #1 spot on Billboard. Both achievements were confirmed earlier this year. At the same time, AI-generated songs still failed to break into the Hot 100's top 20.

Spotify's annual rankings placed Bad Bunny at the summit of Artist streams for the 2026 calendar year. The data, finalized on Monday 1 February 2027, reflected the Latin star's dominance across the platform. No other Artist surpassed his total for the year.

Read the full report

Weather

2026 was the hottest year on record

Crude Oil prices stayed below record levels and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait remained open.

78% certain
lead market 78%next 20%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

Culture

Animals topped Netflix global movie chart

A limited series led the global show rankings while Netflix reported a Q3 operating margin of 32%-34%.

36% certain
lead market 36%next 31%1 venuesettles Wed 21 Oct

Politics

Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

Brenda Locke won Surrey's Mayoral race and Gary Sulz took Revelstoke.

45% certain
lead market 45%next 31%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  2. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  3. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  6. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  10. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  11. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  14. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  16. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an61%Sun 29 Nov
  19. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  20. Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 178%Thu 31 Dec
  21. Top Spotify Artist 2026: Bad Bunny83%Mon 1 Feb
  22. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  23. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  25. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  31. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday58%Mon 1 Feb
  34. [ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  35. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No72%Sat 31 Oct
  36. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%67%Fri 30 Oct
  37. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry59%Sun 18 Oct
  39. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  40. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes77%Sat 31 Oct
  41. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA80%Sun 1 Nov
  42. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi59%Sat 31 Oct
  43. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase92%Thu 5 Nov
  44. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  45. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+96%Sun 1 Nov
  46. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  48. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  51. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  52. Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Morgan Wallen87%Thu 1 Apr
  53. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  54. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: The Odyssey60%Thu 31 Dec
  55. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday62%Mon 1 Feb
  56. New Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Su Chiao-hui55%Sun 29 Nov
  57. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic89%Sun 1 Nov
  59. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change84%Wed 4 Nov
  60. Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day60%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries83%Sun 18 Oct
  63. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  64. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-35m49%Sun 18 Oct
  65. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly67%Sun 18 Oct
  66. #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Anthropic53%Sat 31 Oct
  67. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google75%Sat 31 Oct
  68. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic95%Sun 1 Nov
  69. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic58%Sat 31 Oct
  70. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI79%Sat 31 Oct
  71. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m79%Sun 18 Oct
  72. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic78%Sat 31 Oct
  73. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz83%Sun 18 Oct
  74. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Google54%Sat 31 Oct
  75. Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?: No71%Sun 1 Nov
  76. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  77. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger61%Sun 18 Oct
  78. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard45%Sun 18 Oct
  79. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Tom Dyas55%Sun 18 Oct
  80. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI75%Sat 31 Oct
  81. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+99%Sun 18 Oct
  82. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  83. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%64%Tue 20 Oct
  84. "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office: <10m96%Sun 18 Oct
  85. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic94%Sun 1 Nov
  86. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke94%Sun 18 Oct
  87. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: Yes51%Mon 19 Oct
  88. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?: 12.5% to 15%52%Tue 20 Oct
  89. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google67%Sat 31 Oct
  90. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone70%Sun 18 Oct
  91. October Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%83%Wed 11 Nov
  92. White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+83%Tue 20 Oct
  93. Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?: No89%Sat 24 Oct
  94. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen60%Sun 18 Oct
  95. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sager69%Sun 18 Oct
  96. "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m-8m31%Sun 18 Oct
  97. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life91%Wed 21 Oct
  98. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life36%Wed 21 Oct
  99. "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 1m-2m94%Sun 18 Oct
  100. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series96%Wed 21 Oct
  101. Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?: 32% to 34%55%Tue 20 Oct
  102. Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?: Yes88%Wed 21 Oct
  103. Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?: No75%Sun 18 Oct
  104. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20): East of Eden: Limited Series90%Wed 21 Oct
  105. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals86%Wed 21 Oct
  106. Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B?: Yes86%Wed 21 Oct
  107. Trump approval rating on October 23?: 38.5–38.930%Sat 24 Oct
  108. Democratic Senate odds on October 23?: 62-64%37%Fri 23 Oct
  109. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series95%Wed 21 Oct
  110. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals93%Wed 21 Oct
  111. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  112. Fed Decision in October?: No change85%Thu 29 Oct
  113. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot51%Wed 28 Oct
  114. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  115. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  116. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  117. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  118. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)94%Fri 1 Jan
  119. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane60%Sat 31 Oct
  121. CA-28 House Election Winner: Judy Chu (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  123. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  124. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  125. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  126. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  128. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić74%Sun 25 Oct
  129. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  130. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  132. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  133. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  134. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  135. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  136. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  137. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  138. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  140. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 470%Fri 1 Jan
  141. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  142. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli96%Sun 6 Dec
  143. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  144. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX62%Thu 31 Dec
  145. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  146. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase75%Wed 9 Dec
  147. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  148. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%80%Fri 1 Jan
  149. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  150. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  151. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  152. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes79%Thu 10 Dec
  153. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  155. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  156. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No82%Tue 5 Jan
  157. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  160. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  161. OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 20-25%57%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  164. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  167. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  169. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  171. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)52%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  173. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  174. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia61%Sun 25 Oct
  176. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  178. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA68%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  185. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  186. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  187. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  189. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  190. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China74%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?: Yes92%Sat 17 Oct
  193. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  194. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  195. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)85%Wed 4 Nov
  199. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers65%Sat 31 Oct
  200. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  201. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers12%Thu 1 Apr
  203. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  204. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  205. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  207. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  208. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  209. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  210. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  212. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  213. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro70%Sun 25 Oct
  214. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  215. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  216. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement95%Wed 4 Nov
  217. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  220. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  221. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  222. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202699%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: Yes79%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Luca Niculescu95%Thu 31 Dec
  226. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  227. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes66%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202794%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  230. Bachelorette Season 22 Winner: Other (Season Cancelled)87%Mon 30 Nov
  231. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  235. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  236. Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  240. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No66%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic46%Thu 31 Dec
  242. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  243. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  245. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  247. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Nashville SC41%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC63%Sat 17 Oct
  249. AI bubble burst in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.