AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 17 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 15 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 17 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Thursday, 15 April 2027.

Politics

Chiang Wan-an won Taipei mayoral race

President Lai Ching-te stayed in office and South Korea's Lee Jae-myung remained president.

55% certain
lead market 55%next 44%1 venuesettles Sun 29 Nov4 markets behind this

Chiang Wan-an won the Taipei mayoral election. President Lai Ching-te remained in office. South Korea's President Lee Jae-myung also stayed on as president.

The Taipei race concluded on Sunday 29 November. Voters chose Chiang over other contenders. The result set the city's leadership for the next term.

Lai Ching-te's presidency continued through the end of 2026. No event removed him from office before 31 December. His administration therefore entered 2027 unchanged.

Lee Jae-myung likewise completed his term without interruption. He was not removed from the presidency in 2026. South Korea's executive leadership remained stable at the start of the New year.

Analysis

The simultaneous continuity of Taiwan's and South Korea's heads of state signals political stability in two of East Asia's key democracies, allowing existing foreign-policy and security strategies to proceed without abrupt shifts.

Chiang Wan-an's victory in Taipei introduces a New municipal leader whose agenda may align with or diverge from the central DPP administration, potentially influencing local governance, urban development, and cross-strait engagement at the city level.

While continuity reduces immediate uncertainty, external pressures such as China's posture toward Taiwan and North Korea's activities remain variables that could test the administrations' capacity to maintain their current courses in the months ahead.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an, 61% settles Sunday, 29 November 2026 · polymarket · see the market
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Su Chiao-hui, 55% settles Sunday, 29 November 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?: No, 94% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No, 94% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
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