19%Kimi Antonelli won the F1 Drivers' championship60%Democrats win house and senate in 2026 Midterms42%Bitcoin closed 2026 at $75,000, missing $1 million target59%Metamask failed to reach $1 billion FDV on day one85%Iran's leadership stayed unchanged and nuclear program made no progress in 202694%China avoided Taiwan invasion and blockade in 202693%Putin, Zelenskyy and Luxon remained in office61%Democrats secured senate seats in Alaska, Maine and Ohio41%China posted 4.3-4.6% GDP growth in Q3 202621%Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms won the Nobel Peace Prize54%Hubert Hurkacz and Daniil Medvedev won Asian qualifiers34%PL secured most Senate seats and retained Chamber majority

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 28 September 2026
Edition of Saturday, 27 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 28 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Saturday, 27 March 2027.

Sports

Kimi Antonelli won the F1 Drivers' championship

The Los Angeles Dodgers captured the World Series and the San Francisco 49ers secured the NFC title.

19% certain
lead market 19%next 16%1 venuesettles Mon 25 Jan

Kimi Antonelli clinched the Formula One Drivers' championship on Sunday, December 6. The Los Angeles Dodgers won the World Series on Saturday, October 31. The San Francisco 49ers became NFC champions on Monday, January 25.

Antonelli finished ahead of George Russell, Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris in the final standings. The Dodgers' title was recorded ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers, Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees. The 49ers topped the Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks to claim the NFC crown.

Read the full report

Economics

China posted 4.3-4.6% GDP growth in Q3 2026

China's Q3 growth came with annual consumer inflation near 1%, while South Korea failed to release its Q3 GDP figure.

41% certain
lead market 41%next 29%1 venuesettles Wed 14 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  3. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep60%Tue 3 Nov
  6. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms21%Sat 10 Oct
  7. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No66%Tue 1 Dec
  8. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes64%Tue 1 Dec
  9. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  11. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  13. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  14. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  15. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  16. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  17. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  18. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes94%Wed 30 Sept
  19. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  20. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  21. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes64%Tue 3 Nov
  22. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  28. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  29. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers28%Sat 31 Oct
  30. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  31. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  32. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No66%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  38. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  39. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola72%Tue 3 Nov
  42. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No59%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes93%Sat 7 Nov
  54. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  56. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  57. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?: Yes77%Tue 3 Nov
  60. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  61. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion : San Francisco 49ers19%Mon 25 Jan
  63. Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  64. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  67. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026: S&P 50057%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  70. Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  73. Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: 75,00042%Thu 31 Dec
  74. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  76. Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  78. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  79. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  81. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  82. Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  83. Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?: No53%Fri 1 Jan
  84. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  85. Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  87. Bitcoin price reaches 100k USD by the end of October: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  88. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  89. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic98%Thu 1 Oct
  90. Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  91. Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  92. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL66%Mon 5 Oct
  93. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  94. Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?: No71%Wed 30 Sept
  95. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  96. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite67%Sun 4 Oct
  97. Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?: Yes82%Thu 1 Oct
  98. Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  99. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL98%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis75%Mon 5 Oct
  101. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  102. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado59%Sun 4 Oct
  103. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros34%Mon 5 Oct
  104. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  105. Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place: Teresa Surita61%Mon 5 Oct
  106. LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: T1 Academy93%Mon 28 Sept
  107. Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place: Rayssa Furlan83%Mon 5 Oct
  108. LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: KT Rolster Challengers56%Mon 28 Sept
  109. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro53%Mon 5 Oct
  110. Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Braga86%Mon 5 Oct
  111. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana38%Sun 4 Oct
  112. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Benedita da Silva60%Sun 4 Oct
  113. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa81%Mon 5 Oct
  114. Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place: Styvenson Valentim77%Mon 5 Oct
  115. Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C: Paper Rex57%Tue 29 Sept
  116. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%45%Tue 20 Oct
  117. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  118. Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A: LGD Gaming62%Tue 29 Sept
  119. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  120. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  121. LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 1 Winner: KT Rolster Challengers52%Mon 28 Sept
  122. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  123. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?: No71%Thu 1 Oct
  124. Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  125. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%41%Wed 14 Oct
  126. Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No99%Mon 28 Sept
  127. Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5): T1 Academy71%Mon 28 Sept
  128. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?: No92%Fri 2 Oct
  129. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: did not happen60%Wed 28 Oct
  130. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes71%Mon 12 Oct
  131. Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov: Hubert Hurkacz59%Mon 5 Oct
  132. Will a 2026 science Nobel motivation mention AI, machine learning, or neural networks?: No83%Thu 8 Oct
  133. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Zhiheng Xia vs Evan Zhu: Yes78%Mon 5 Oct
  134. Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime Faria: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  135. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Koki Matsuda: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  136. Hangzhou Open: Completed Match: Rojer/Winegar vs Cabral/Tracy: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  137. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  138. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Ulrikke Eikeri vs Varvara Lepchenko: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  139. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Rebecca Sramkova vs Jodie Burrage: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  140. Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin: Daniil Medvedev68%Mon 5 Oct
  141. Jingshan: Completed Match: Li/Zhang vs Cho/Cho: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  142. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  143. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino: Yes55%Mon 5 Oct
  144. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Aleksandar Vukic vs Ryan Seggerman: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  145. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Mattia Bellucci vs Filip Peliwo: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  146. Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina69%Mon 5 Oct
  147. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  148. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro55%Sun 4 Oct
  149. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  150. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  151. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  152. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot51%Tue 27 Oct
  153. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  154. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No57%Sat 3 Oct
  155. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase65%Thu 29 Oct
  157. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane50%Sat 31 Oct
  158. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  159. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  160. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  161. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  162. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  163. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  164. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  165. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  167. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  168. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  169. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  171. MO-05 House Election Winner: Emanuel Cleaver (D)88%Thu 5 Nov
  172. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No61%Wed 4 Nov
  174. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro62%Thu 31 Dec
  176. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  177. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  178. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  180. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes97%Wed 30 Sept
  182. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  183. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  184. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  185. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  186. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  188. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  189. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Fri 8 Jan
  190. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No89%Tue 3 Nov
  191. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  196. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  197. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  199. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  201. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  202. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman58%Thu 31 Dec
  203. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  204. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No84%Thu 1 Oct
  207. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  208. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  209. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 482%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  212. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes85%Tue 5 Jan
  213. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  214. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  215. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  216. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No83%Mon 30 Nov
  217. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  218. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%81%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  220. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  221. US recession by end of 2026?: No91%Sun 31 Jan
  222. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX56%Thu 31 Dec
  223. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  226. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No92%Mon 4 Jan
  227. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  228. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  230. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes93%Sun 1 Nov
  231. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  232. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  233. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  235. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  236. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
  237. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
  238. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  240. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?: Yes94%Mon 28 Sept
  242. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  243. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No80%Tue 6 Oct
  244. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC25%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  246. Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Xiaomi93%Wed 30 Sept
  247. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro50%Fri 2 Oct
  248. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  250. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.