71%U.S. avoided recession as Growth steadied at 2 to 2.5%46%Fed ended 2026 at 4.25% after two rate hikes58%Democrats swept 2026 Midterms, winning house and senate62%Extended posted modest valuation as other platforms missed targets54%Gadi Eizenkot became Israel Prime Minister; Luxon, Zelenskyy, Putin stayed89%Mojtaba Khamenei led Iran as nuclear enrichment continued56%United States remained in NATO and avoided war with Iran58%Democrats swept California elections, Xavier Becerra became governor54%Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister33%Fed left rates unchanged on October 1634%September CPI rose 0.6% as Unemployment held at 4.1%43%Lula won Brazil's Presidential first round as Bolsonaro took second

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 25 September 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 24 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 25 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Wednesday, 24 March 2027.

Economics

U.S. avoided recession as Growth steadied at 2 to 2.5%

U.S. Growth held at 2 to 2.5% while unemployment rose above 2022 and 2024 levels.

71% certain
lead market 71%next 29%2 venuessettles Fri 29 Jan

On Sunday, the United States posted annual GDP Growth of between 2 to 2.5% for 2026. The economy did not slip into recession by the end of the year. Unemployment in September 2026 was higher than in both September 2022 and September 2024. A tariff agreement with China was finalized before the December 31 deadline, and China's Growth slowed to a range of 4 to 5% in 2026.

Data showed that the economy expanded within that narrow band throughout 2026. This performance contributed to the avoidance of a recession.

Read the full report

Politics

Łukasz Gibała won Kraków Mayoral race

Pam Alexis secured Abbotsford-Mission seat while Israel's government refrained from undermining the upcoming election.

63% certain
lead market 63%next 37%1 venuesettles Sat 26 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro53%Sun 4 Oct
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Tue 27 Oct
  6. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No58%Sat 3 Oct
  7. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes58%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Tue 3 Nov
  11. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase66%Thu 29 Oct
  12. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No67%Tue 1 Dec
  13. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  14. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes61%Tue 1 Dec
  15. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  16. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  17. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei91%Thu 31 Dec
  19. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  20. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  21. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  22. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  23. CA-15 House Election Winner: Kevin Mullin (D)88%Tue 3 Nov
  24. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  25. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  26. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes69%Tue 3 Nov
  27. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%46%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes65%Tue 3 Nov
  30. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  31. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman58%Thu 31 Dec
  33. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  35. US recession by end of 2026?: No88%Sun 31 Jan
  36. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  37. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  38. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  40. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro51%Fri 2 Oct
  41. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase70%Wed 9 Dec
  44. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  45. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA99%Thu 1 Oct
  46. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No70%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  48. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes85%Sat 7 Nov
  52. Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?: Yes77%Tue 3 Nov
  53. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  54. China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%89%Sun 31 Jan
  55. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  56. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  57. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  58. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes56%Sat 31 Oct
  59. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%65%Mon 5 Oct
  60. Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?: Yes95%Sun 1 Nov
  61. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL90%Sun 4 Oct
  62. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  63. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes74%Fri 1 Jan
  64. GDP growth in 2026: 2.0–2.5%71%Fri 29 Jan
  65. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  66. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)49%Thu 31 Dec
  67. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No85%Thu 31 Dec
  68. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula75%Mon 5 Oct
  70. Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?: No97%Mon 23 Nov
  71. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  72. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?: Yes76%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic91%Wed 30 Sept
  74. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?: Yes94%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Pam Alexis63%Sat 26 Sept
  80. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  81. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 4-6%43%Sun 4 Oct
  82. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 22m+55%Sun 27 Sept
  83. Central Bank of Colombia decision in September: No change73%Thu 1 Oct
  84. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro87%Sun 4 Oct
  85. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+90%Sun 4 Oct
  86. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%47%Thu 15 Oct
  87. Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?: No63%Sun 27 Sept
  88. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  89. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  90. Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  91. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  92. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado49%Sun 4 Oct
  93. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL94%Mon 5 Oct
  94. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite74%Sun 4 Oct
  95. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marcelo Crivella50%Sun 4 Oct
  96. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis66%Mon 5 Oct
  97. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro46%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  99. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros64%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana30%Sun 4 Oct
  101. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: Mara Rocha40%Mon 5 Oct
  102. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  103. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%38%Thu 15 Oct
  104. Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  105. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  106. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  107. Kraków Mayoral Election Winner: Łukasz Gibała99%Sun 27 Sept
  108. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%47%Thu 15 Oct
  109. #1 Box Office This Weekend?: Avengers: Endgame Encore70%Sun 27 Sept
  110. Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  111. September Unemployment Rate: 4.1%34%Fri 2 Oct
  112. "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office: 17-20m42%Sun 27 Sept
  113. US x China tariff agreement by September 30?: Yes86%Thu 1 Oct
  114. Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales?: 60-70k56%Sat 26 Sept
  115. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%47%Thu 15 Oct
  116. Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%64%Tue 29 Sept
  117. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+33%Fri 16 Oct
  118. No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?: No67%Fri 16 Oct
  119. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  121. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  122. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane53%Sat 31 Oct
  123. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  124. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms22%Sat 10 Oct
  125. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No96%Wed 18 Nov
  126. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  127. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  128. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  129. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  130. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  131. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  132. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  133. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  134. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  135. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  136. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  137. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli91%Sun 6 Dec
  138. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No59%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  140. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  141. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  142. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  143. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  144. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro60%Thu 31 Dec
  145. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  146. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  147. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  148. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  149. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  150. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  151. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  152. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202791%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  155. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  156. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  157. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  159. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  160. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  161. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  162. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  163. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  164. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  165. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  166. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  167. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  168. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  169. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  172. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  173. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Tue 5 Jan
  176. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?: Yes93%Fri 25 Sept
  178. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes84%Tue 5 Jan
  179. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  181. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  182. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX51%Thu 31 Dec
  184. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  185. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No70%Mon 30 Nov
  186. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 498%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  188. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  190. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  191. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  192. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No70%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  194. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  195. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  196. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No93%Mon 4 Jan
  197. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  198. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes92%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  202. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC69%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  205. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ95%Mon 5 Oct
  206. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
  207. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  208. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  209. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  210. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  212. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  213. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202698%Fri 1 Jan
  214. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  215. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  216. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  218. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  219. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  220. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  221. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes83%Wed 28 Oct
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
  224. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No71%Tue 6 Oct
  225. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  226. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes72%Mon 30 Nov
  227. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  228. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  229. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Tue 3 Nov
  230. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No66%Tue 13 Oct
  231. 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨: No77%Mon 2 Nov
  232. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  236. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  237. Will Seth Bodnar win Montanas Senate Election?: No91%Tue 3 Nov
  238. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No68%Fri 6 Nov
  241. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?: 200-21948%Fri 25 Sept
  243. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026?: Yes99%Mon 28 Sept
  244. Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?: No98%Thu 5 Nov
  245. MLB: Home Runs Leader: Kyle Schwarber45%Sun 11 Oct
  246. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  247. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No74%Sun 1 Nov
  248. Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Will Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?: No75%Tue 3 Nov
  250. Clarity Act will pass in September: No99%Wed 30 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.