Economics
Fed ended 2026 with policy rate at 4.25%
The central bank raised rates twice by 25 basis points and kept the lower bound above 2.75%.
48%
certain
The six months ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 17 Sept · not a record of events
Economics
The central bank raised rates twice by 25 basis points and kept the lower bound above 2.75%.
Science
Metamask, Opensea, Puffpaw and Extended all stayed below $500 million in full-dilution value on day one.
World
The United States did not declare war, invade, or recognize opposition figures.
World
Russia did not capture Crimea and no ceasefire was reached.
World
China also refrained from blockading Taiwan and avoided military clashes with Japan throughout the year.
World
The United States stayed in NATO and no direct NATO-Russia clash took place in 2026.
World
Israel struck four nations in 2026 and the Iran-Israel ceasefire held through October 31.
Politics
Karen Bass won a second term as Los Angeles mayor and voters rejected a Billionaire wealth tax.
World
Alexandru Nazare took office as Romania's Prime Minister and Christopher Luxon remained New Zealand's leader after their 2026 elections.
Politics
They also secured over 230 house seats and took Maine and Alaska Senate races.
Politics
Tarcísio de Freitas won São Paulo, and other states chose new leaders.
Politics
The PQ secured a majority, installing Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as Premier and ruling out a sovereignty referendum this term.
Science
An AI model logged a 1520 Overall Arena score while Anthropic and OpenAI reported no breakthrough solutions.
Science
The firm also launched a dedicated Cyber model for Trusted users and labeled a model as Critical.
World
Bab el-Mandeb Strait was not effectively closed and the United States had not announced an end to the Iranian blockade.
World
Israel sealed its airspace, struck Lebanon on Sept. 26 and kept its cease-fire with Iran through the month.
Politics
United Russia secured the parliament while President Putin stayed in office past September 2026.
World
Russia also did not take control of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by the end of September.
Science
It also led the AI Agent and LiveBench coding categories.
World
It also refused to charge passage fees and did not sign a US-Iran agreement by September 30.
Economics|World
The Bank of Japan lifted rates by 25 basis points, the Bank of England left rates unchanged, and the United States experienced no Major Unrest
Politics
Communist Party finished second while Turnout landed between 53 and 56 percent.
World
United Russia increased its Duma seats, won every region, and Yabloko missed the threshold.
Culture
Resident Evil also earned a 90-plus Rotten Tomatoes rating.
Economics
The central bank raised rates twice by 25 basis points and kept the lower bound above 2.75%.
The Federal Reserve closed 2026 with its target rate at 4.25 percent. The level followed two modest 25-basis-point hikes during the year, one in December and an earlier pause. Neither the lower nor the upper bound of the policy range moved below the previous thresholds.
In October the Fed left its target unchanged, maintaining the rate at 4.00 percent.
World
Israel struck four nations in 2026 and the Iran-Israel ceasefire held through October 31.
Politics
Karen Bass won a second term as Los Angeles mayor and voters rejected a Billionaire wealth tax.
World
Alexandru Nazare took office as Romania's Prime Minister and Christopher Luxon remained New Zealand's leader after their 2026 elections.
Politics
They also secured over 230 house seats and took Maine and Alaska Senate races.
Politics
Tarcísio de Freitas won São Paulo, and other states chose new leaders.
Politics
The PQ secured a majority, installing Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as Premier and ruling out a sovereignty referendum this term.
Science
An AI model logged a 1520 Overall Arena score while Anthropic and OpenAI reported no breakthrough solutions.
Science
The firm also launched a dedicated Cyber model for Trusted users and labeled a model as Critical.
World
Bab el-Mandeb Strait was not effectively closed and the United States had not announced an end to the Iranian blockade.
World
Israel sealed its airspace, struck Lebanon on Sept. 26 and kept its cease-fire with Iran through the month.
Politics
United Russia secured the parliament while President Putin stayed in office past September 2026.
World
Russia also did not take control of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by the end of September.
Science
It also led the AI Agent and LiveBench coding categories.
World
It also refused to charge passage fees and did not sign a US-Iran agreement by September 30.
Economics|World
The Bank of Japan lifted rates by 25 basis points, the Bank of England left rates unchanged, and the United States experienced no Major Unrest
Politics
Communist Party finished second while Turnout landed between 53 and 56 percent.
World
United Russia increased its Duma seats, won every region, and Yabloko missed the threshold.
Culture
Resident Evil also earned a 90-plus Rotten Tomatoes rating.
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.