62%OpenSea failed to top $100 million FDV on launch day84%US and Iran avoided war and nuclear deal in 202661%No ceasefire or major gains occurred in Russia-Ukraine war in 202675%Netanyahu lost election as Israel struck five countries and kept Iran cease-fire57%SpaceX's Starship failed to reach Mars within two years65%Right became pro-AI camp as US stayed in NATO61%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office69%Xavier Becerra won California governorship69%Fed raised rates 25 basis points in September54%Gadi Eizenkot and Alexandru Nazare became Prime ministers50%Democrats seized control of house and senate in 2026 Midterms46%Democrats lost house majority in 2026 midterms

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 13 September 2026
Edition of Friday, 12 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 13 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Friday, 12 March 2027.

Crypto

OpenSea failed to top $100 million FDV on launch day

OpenSea opened under $100 million FDV and MetaMask stayed below $700 million on launch day.

62% certain
lead market 62%next 39%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

A wave of high-profile crypto token launches underperformed on their first day, with none reaching a $500 million fully-diluted valuation. OpenSea, MetaMask, Extended and StandX all posted FDVs well below their projected thresholds. The shortfalls contrasted sharply with the hype that surrounded each release.

OpenSea's token opened with an FDV under $100 million on the day of launch. The figure placed the project among the lowest-valued launches of the week.

Read the full report

Science

OpenAI lost U.S. GPT trademark

OpenAI kept its Code Arena lead while falling short on a U.S. GPT trademark and a new Millennium Prize solution.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 42%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Culture

Apple TV topped the 2026 Emmy Awards

Widow's Bay won Outstanding Comedy Series and Jean Smart took Lead Actress for Hacks.

55% certain
lead market 55%next 42%1 venuesettles Mon 14 Sept

Politics

Belit Onay elected mayor of Hannover

Katharina Pötter won in Osnabrück as Ulf Prange took Oldenburg, while Göttingen's race was cancelled.

62% certain
lead market 62%next 39%1 venuesettles Sun 13 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase78%Wed 16 Sept
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra93%Tue 3 Nov
  3. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro46%Sun 4 Oct
  4. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No89%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)78%Wed 30 Sept
  6. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  7. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)91%Thu 31 Dec
  8. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  10. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  11. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Thu 31 Dec
  12. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro72%Sun 4 Oct
  13. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No51%Tue 1 Dec
  14. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep50%Tue 3 Nov
  16. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  17. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes87%Wed 9 Dec
  19. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke68%Sun 20 Sept
  20. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  21. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  22. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party53%Tue 3 Nov
  23. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)98%Wed 30 Sept
  26. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  27. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  28. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  29. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  30. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  31. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%Thu 31 Dec
  32. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  33. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  35. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  36. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  40. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass69%Thu 31 Dec
  41. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula53%Fri 2 Oct
  42. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes83%Wed 14 Oct
  43. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes69%Wed 16 Sept
  46. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  47. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  48. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes86%Wed 14 Oct
  49. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Alexandru Nazare54%Thu 31 Dec
  50. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  51. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  54. Fed decisions (Jun-Sep): Other80%Wed 16 Sept
  55. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: AfD83%Sun 20 Sept
  56. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  57. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  60. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  63. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  64. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  66. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 578%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)88%Sun 20 Sept
  70. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  71. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  72. Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?: No100%Thu 8 Oct
  73. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  74. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No61%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes80%Mon 5 Oct
  77. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes75%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Bank of Japan Decision in September?: 25 bps increase98%Fri 18 Sept
  79. Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series: “Widow’s Bay”79%Mon 14 Sept
  80. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  81. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  82. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)82%Sun 4 Oct
  83. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo83%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes71%Sun 20 Sept
  85. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  86. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  87. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%41%Sun 4 Oct
  88. Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?: No82%Tue 10 Nov
  89. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas98%Sun 4 Oct
  90. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes96%Sun 4 Oct
  91. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes66%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No93%Sun 4 Oct
  93. Top Spotify Artist 2026: Bad Bunny91%Thu 31 Dec
  94. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?: 5-657%Fri 1 Jan
  95. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  96. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Ciro Gomes61%Sun 4 Oct
  97. Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  98. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  99. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday61%Fri 1 Jan
  100. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  101. StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  102. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No68%Fri 1 Jan
  103. Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series: Jean Smart – “Hacks”98%Mon 14 Sept
  104. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro81%Mon 5 Oct
  105. Bank of England decision in September?: No change96%Thu 17 Sept
  106. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues61%Sun 4 Oct
  107. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello95%Sun 4 Oct
  108. Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?: No98%Wed 23 Sept
  109. Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”77%Mon 14 Sept
  110. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Sun 4 Oct
  111. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: No51%Mon 21 Sept
  112. Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series: “Beef”65%Mon 14 Sept
  113. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: OpenAI78%Thu 1 Oct
  114. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco62%Sun 4 Oct
  115. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No99%Sun 4 Oct
  116. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No58%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  118. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  119. How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?: 0-199%Mon 14 Sept
  120. Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?: Yes91%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  122. Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?: Apple TV87%Mon 14 Sept
  123. Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner: Katharina Pötter62%Sun 13 Sept
  124. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  125. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?: Anthropic80%Thu 1 Oct
  126. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI88%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No85%Wed 30 Sept
  128. Bank of Brazil decision in September?: 25 bps decrease98%Tue 15 Sept
  129. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No73%Thu 1 Oct
  130. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic87%Thu 1 Oct
  131. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic90%Thu 1 Oct
  132. Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?: No91%Tue 15 Sept
  133. Hannover Mayoral Election Winner: Belit Onay70%Sun 13 Sept
  134. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  135. How many Emmys will “Beef” win?: 0-155%Mon 14 Sept
  136. How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?: 2-360%Mon 14 Sept
  137. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  138. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic93%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?: No76%Wed 30 Sept
  140. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 255%Tue 15 Sept
  141. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?: No70%Thu 1 Oct
  142. Will OpenAI classify any model as "Critical" capability under its Preparedness Framework before Oct 1, 2026?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  143. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Whisper Man97%Tue 15 Sept
  144. Göttingen Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen79%Sun 13 Sept
  145. Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner: Ulf Prange72%Sun 13 Sept
  146. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?97%Tue 15 Sept
  147. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 298%Tue 15 Sept
  148. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 194%Tue 15 Sept
  149. Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?: No91%Tue 15 Sept
  150. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Those Who Wish Me Dead97%Tue 15 Sept
  151. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?: No95%Tue 15 Sept
  152. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  153. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No93%Sat 31 Oct
  154. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  155. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  156. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No52%Sat 3 Oct
  157. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  158. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  160. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  161. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  162. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya15%Sat 10 Oct
  163. Trump out as President before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3089%Thu 1 Oct
  165. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  168. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli84%Sun 6 Dec
  169. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro80%Thu 31 Dec
  170. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes97%Thu 1 Oct
  171. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  173. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  175. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  176. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: Yes51%Wed 4 Nov
  177. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  178. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  179. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  181. Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?: No98%Sun 13 Sept
  182. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  183. Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC: No70%Mon 14 Sept
  184. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  185. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  186. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  187. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%39%Wed 9 Dec
  188. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  190. Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC67%Sun 13 Sept
  191. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  192. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  193. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  194. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  195. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  197. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  201. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  203. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  209. Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona77%Sun 13 Sept
  210. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Thu 31 Dec
  211. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers31%Sat 31 Oct
  212. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  213. AL-07 House Election Winner: Terri Sewell (D)88%Tue 3 Nov
  214. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  215. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  216. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes96%Sun 6 Dec
  217. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  221. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Nashville SC19%Sat 19 Dec
  222. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  223. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  224. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202696%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will YES have more holders than NO?: Yes87%Mon 14 Sept
  226. Fed Decision in October?: No change60%Wed 28 Oct
  227. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  228. Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC69%Sun 13 Sept
  229. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  230. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  231. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Thu 31 Dec
  232. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  233. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  234. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic54%Thu 31 Dec
  235. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  237. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  238. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  240. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  243. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  245. US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?: Yes99%Mon 14 Sept
  246. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  247. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Augusto Cury52%Sun 4 Oct
  248. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  249. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: No63%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No83%Sun 3 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.