AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 12 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 11 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 12 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Thursday, 11 March 2027.

Economics

U.S. and China finalized tariff pact by end of 2026

China grew 4-5% in 2026 and U.S. inflation remained under 4.5%.

87% certain
lead market 87%next 13%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

By the close of 2026 the United States and China had reached a tariff agreement, ending months of trade tension. In the same year China recorded annual gross domestic product Growth between four and five percent. Throughout 2026 U.S. consumer price inflation stayed below the 4.5 percent threshold.

The pact was finalized before December 31, meeting the year-end deadline. Its conclusion aligned with China's reported four-to-five percent Growth for the year. At the same time, U.S. inflation data confirmed rates remained below the 4.5 percent ceiling throughout 2026.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase78%Wed 16 Sept
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Tue 3 Nov
  3. Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  4. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)77%Wed 30 Sept
  5. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  8. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)97%Wed 30 Sept
  11. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke65%Sun 20 Sept
  12. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  13. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  14. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No71%Tue 3 Nov
  16. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  18. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  21. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No82%Thu 31 Dec
  23. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  29. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  31. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Fed decisions (Jun-Sep): Other79%Wed 16 Sept
  33. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes70%Wed 16 Sept
  34. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  35. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: AfD82%Sun 20 Sept
  40. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  41. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  42. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  44. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  45. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  46. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No82%Sat 31 Oct
  47. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  48. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?: No95%Wed 16 Sept
  49. Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  50. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 579%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic66%Fri 1 Jan
  52. United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: 325–33946%Sun 20 Sept
  53. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)88%Sun 20 Sept
  54. 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?: Yes85%Wed 16 Sept
  55. China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%90%Sun 31 Jan
  56. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  57. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes73%Sat 31 Oct
  58. Bank of Japan Decision in September?: 25 bps increase98%Fri 18 Sept
  59. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  60. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes71%Sun 20 Sept
  61. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  62. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  63. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner: Hanwha Life Esports65%Sat 12 Sept
  64. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)82%Sun 4 Oct
  65. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs: Legacy68%Sat 12 Sept
  66. Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?: No82%Tue 10 Nov
  67. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs: Hanwha Life Esports71%Sat 12 Sept
  68. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes91%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo97%Sun 4 Oct
  70. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  71. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes86%Mon 5 Oct
  72. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?: Yes89%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  74. LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs: Invictus Gaming52%Sat 12 Sept
  75. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?: Yes87%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?: No99%Wed 16 Sept
  77. Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  78. Bank of England decision in September?: No change95%Thu 17 Sept
  79. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Ciro Gomes60%Sun 4 Oct
  80. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro83%Mon 5 Oct
  81. Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs: G263%Sat 12 Sept
  82. Will Solana dip to $70 in September?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  83. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Fernando Haddad60%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?: 31%+81%Sun 20 Sept
  85. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: Yes50%Mon 21 Sept
  86. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Linke89%Sun 20 Sept
  87. Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5): MIBR61%Sat 12 Sept
  88. Bank of Brazil decision in September?: 25 bps decrease97%Tue 15 Sept
  89. Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5): BetBoom Team65%Sat 12 Sept
  90. 🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026?: No82%Wed 16 Sept
  91. LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs: Sentinels52%Mon 14 Sept
  92. Fed interest rate decision — September 2026: 25 bps increase73%Wed 16 Sept
  93. Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  94. Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?: No88%Tue 15 Sept
  95. Will Solana reach $200 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  96. XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  97. How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?: 026%Wed 16 Sept
  98. Will Solana reach $130 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  99. Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  100. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Whisper Man93%Tue 15 Sept
  101. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 195%Tue 15 Sept
  102. Brazil Selic rate decision — September 2026 COPOM meeting: 25 bps decrease93%Tue 15 Sept
  103. Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?: No63%Thu 17 Sept
  104. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?95%Tue 15 Sept
  105. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 280%Tue 15 Sept
  106. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 294%Tue 15 Sept
  107. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?93%Tue 15 Sept
  108. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026: 25 bps increase95%Fri 18 Sept
  109. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Those Who Wish Me Dead91%Tue 15 Sept
  110. Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 24 million views this week?: No84%Tue 15 Sept
  111. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?: No79%Tue 15 Sept
  112. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro47%Sun 4 Oct
  113. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No90%Wed 4 Nov
  114. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  115. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)90%Thu 31 Dec
  116. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  117. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  118. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No52%Sat 3 Oct
  119. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  120. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  121. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Thu 31 Dec
  122. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes62%Tue 3 Nov
  123. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  124. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  125. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  126. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  127. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson71%Sun 13 Sept
  128. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep49%Tue 3 Nov
  129. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya11%Sat 10 Oct
  130. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No51%Tue 1 Dec
  131. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  132. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  133. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes87%Wed 9 Dec
  134. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  135. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  136. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli84%Sun 6 Dec
  137. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro81%Thu 31 Dec
  138. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3093%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro77%Sun 4 Oct
  140. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  141. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  142. AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  143. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes77%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  145. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No52%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  147. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  148. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)89%Tue 3 Nov
  149. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  150. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic93%Thu 1 Oct
  151. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  152. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Thu 31 Dec
  153. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party52%Tue 3 Nov
  154. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  155. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  156. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%43%Wed 9 Dec
  157. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes89%Wed 30 Sept
  159. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  160. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  161. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  162. Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)99%Sun 13 Sept
  163. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  164. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  165. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No88%Thu 1 Oct
  166. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  167. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  168. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  169. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  171. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  172. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  173. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  174. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  175. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  176. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  177. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers31%Sat 31 Oct
  178. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  179. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  181. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  182. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  183. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No66%Mon 30 Nov
  184. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic57%Thu 31 Dec
  186. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes95%Sun 6 Dec
  187. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  190. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  191. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC18%Sat 19 Dec
  192. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  193. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  194. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?: No94%Sat 12 Sept
  195. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass67%Thu 31 Dec
  196. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  197. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Fed Decision in October?: No change60%Wed 28 Oct
  199. 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Alexander Zverev57%Sun 13 Sept
  200. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  201. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Thu 31 Dec
  202. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  203. Will YES have more holders than NO?: Yes87%Mon 14 Sept
  204. Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?: No91%Sun 13 Sept
  205. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  206. Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Liverpool FC70%Sat 12 Sept
  207. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  210. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  211. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  212. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  214. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  215. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  216. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes83%Wed 14 Oct
  217. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula53%Fri 2 Oct
  219. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  220. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  221. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  222. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  223. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No83%Sun 3 Jan
  224. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  225. Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?: Yes79%Wed 9 Dec
  226. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  227. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  228. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  229. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Alexandru Nazare45%Thu 31 Dec
  230. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes86%Wed 14 Oct
  232. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No65%Tue 13 Oct
  233. MLB: Home Runs Leader: Kyle Schwarber83%Sun 11 Oct
  234. Iran full airspace closure by September 30?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  235. Will Seth Bodnar win Montanas Senate Election?: No91%Tue 3 Nov
  236. 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨: No71%Mon 2 Nov
  237. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  239. "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?: Yes100%Sun 4 Oct
  240. Trump out as President by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  241. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No70%Fri 6 Nov
  243. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  244. Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?: Yes71%Sat 12 Sept
  245. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No58%Tue 6 Oct
  246. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  247. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  248. US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?: Yes98%Mon 14 Sept
  249. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202696%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA92%Wed 30 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.