53%Democrats secured control of Congress after 2026 midterms44%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office64%Fed ended 2026 with rate at 4.25% after two hikes74%Bola Tinubu re-elected as Nigeria's president91%House failed to impeach Trump in 202665%Mitch McConnell remained senate leader as Republicans lost chamber61%Extended token fell short of $800 million FDV on day one86%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader in 202682%Incumbents held top posts in Russia, US, South Korea, FIFA, Brazil62%Iranian regime survived 2026 as shipping chokepoints stayed disrupted48%Anthropic topped AI model performance by end of 202697%Trump did not acquire Greenland before 2027

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 18 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 20 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Sunday, 18 April 2027.

Politics

Democrats secured control of Congress after 2026 midterms

The party also weathered a Shutdown and appointed a new White House Press Secretary

53% certain
lead market 53%next 48%1 venuesettles Tue 1 Dec

Democrats retained control of both the house and the senate following the 2026 midterm elections. The party also navigated a federal government Shutdown that began earlier in the year. In addition, a new White House Press Secretary was announced before the end of 2026.

The Shutdown started after funding lapses in early January and continued until the house, under Democratic leadership, approved a temporary funding measure. That action restored limited operations for federal agencies. The interruption ended once the agreement took effect.

Read the full report

Politics

Mark Sutcliffe won Ottawa Mayoral race

Bryan Paterson was elected mayor of Kingston while Steven Del Duca secured Vaughan's mayoralty.

42% certain
lead market 42%next 39%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot50%Wed 28 Oct
  2. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  4. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  8. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  9. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  15. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day90%Fri 8 Jan
  16. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase77%Wed 9 Dec
  21. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  22. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%80%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  24. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes82%Thu 10 Dec
  29. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  31. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar70%Wed 28 Oct
  35. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  36. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  37. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  38. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  40. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  41. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic49%Thu 31 Dec
  43. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes77%Wed 4 Nov
  44. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: <2035%Wed 28 Oct
  48. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No61%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 340-35935%Tue 20 Oct
  50. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  51. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  53. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  54. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Luca Niculescu99%Thu 31 Dec
  55. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)68%Thu 31 Dec
  56. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  59. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes97%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  64. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No65%Tue 1 Dec
  67. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes63%Fri 1 Jan
  70. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes64%Tue 1 Dec
  71. Fed Decision in January?: No change64%Thu 28 Jan
  72. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  73. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No89%Sat 31 Oct
  74. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  75. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  76. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday58%Mon 1 Feb
  77. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike66%Wed 9 Dec
  78. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  79. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  81. Spain General Election Winner: PP84%Mon 30 Nov
  82. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  84. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase95%Thu 5 Nov
  85. Which company has the best AI model end of November?: Google48%Tue 1 Dec
  86. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  87. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  89. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  90. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  91. Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes89%Thu 31 Dec
  93. Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  94. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  96. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  97. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  98. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  99. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  100. Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?: Yes53%Tue 1 Dec
  101. Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?: No91%Mon 4 Jan
  102. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  103. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  104. Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?: Shutdown & Democratic Party91%Mon 1 Feb
  105. Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  106. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  107. Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  108. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession44%Thu 31 Dec
  109. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday63%Mon 1 Feb
  110. Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu74%Sun 17 Jan
  111. Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?: No94%Sat 2 Jan
  112. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe94%Tue 27 Oct
  113. Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?: Yes76%Fri 1 Jan
  114. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change73%Wed 4 Nov
  115. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?: Yes67%Fri 30 Oct
  116. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI81%Sat 31 Oct
  117. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  118. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+57%Tue 20 Oct
  119. Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  120. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca97%Tue 27 Oct
  121. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Carolyn Parrish42%Tue 27 Oct
  122. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens68%Tue 27 Oct
  123. #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?: OpenAI59%Tue 27 Oct
  124. Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Dorothy McCabe51%Tue 27 Oct
  125. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma68%Tue 27 Oct
  126. Third-best AI Lab end of October?: Meta96%Sat 31 Oct
  127. London, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Josh Morgan82%Tue 27 Oct
  128. Kingston, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Bryan Paterson99%Tue 27 Oct
  129. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?: Yes97%Tue 27 Oct
  130. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 160-17942%Tue 20 Oct
  131. Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: <580%Tue 20 Oct
  132. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9955%Tue 20 Oct
  133. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3967%Fri 23 Oct
  134. NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3983%Tue 20 Oct
  135. Fed Decision in October?: No change84%Thu 29 Oct
  136. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  137. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  138. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  139. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane66%Sat 31 Oct
  140. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  142. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  143. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  144. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  145. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  147. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić69%Sun 25 Oct
  148. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  149. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement94%Wed 4 Nov
  150. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%45%Mon 26 Oct
  151. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro76%Thu 31 Dec
  152. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  153. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202792%Fri 1 Jan
  155. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  156. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  157. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  158. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  160. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  161. NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 3-6%58%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google74%Sat 31 Oct
  164. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)80%Wed 4 Nov
  167. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX69%Thu 31 Dec
  168. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No84%Tue 5 Jan
  170. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69%Sun 25 Oct
  171. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  172. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  173. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  175. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement89%Wed 4 Nov
  176. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 483%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  179. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  186. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  187. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  190. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  193. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  194. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)83%Wed 4 Nov
  195. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an58%Sun 29 Nov
  197. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC17%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  199. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  200. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers62%Sat 31 Oct
  201. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  203. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes77%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  207. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No58%Mon 30 Nov
  208. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?: Yes91%Tue 20 Oct
  209. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  210. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  213. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers14%Thu 1 Apr
  215. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  217. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: Yes79%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  222. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202699%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Bachelorette Season 22 Winner: Other (Season Cancelled)88%Mon 30 Nov
  226. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  227. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  230. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China81%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  232. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  233. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  236. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  237. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)71%Wed 4 Nov
  239. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  240. Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: No53%Thu 31 Dec
  242. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  243. Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  245. AI bubble burst in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  246. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  247. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  250. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.