85%Morgan Wallen held Billboard #1 spot for 202642%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office62%Fed ended 2026 with policy rate at 4.25 percent61%People's party won Spain's general election66%Google's Gemini-4-argon-high named best AI model85%OpenAI failed to hit $2 trillion valuation target90%Elon Musk remained Richest person as Oil and Gold missed highs77%Russia and Ukraine struck each other's capitals as ceasefire failed94%Putin, Zelenskyy and Infantino remained in office through 202675%United States remained in NATO throughout 202638%U.S. Q3 GDP grew at least 3% as inflation eased58%Democrats took control of house and senate in 2026 Midterms

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 19 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 17 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 19 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Saturday, 17 April 2027.

Culture

Morgan Wallen held Billboard #1 spot for 2026

Morgan Wallen held the year-long Billboard #1 spot, an AI-generated song missed the Hot 100 top 20, and Max Martin skipped Taylor Swift's wedding.

85% certain
lead market 85%next 15%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

Morgan Wallen secured the Billboard #1 position for the entire 2026 year. The result was confirmed on Thursday, April 1. On the same day reports recorded that an AI-generated track failed to reach the Hot 100 top 20 and that producer Max Martin did not attend Taylor Swift's wedding.

Wallen's songs dominated weekly charts throughout 2026, keeping him at the top of Billboard's rankings for the full year. Billboard compiled the data and released the year-end summary on April 1. The achievement placed him ahead of other leading artists.

Read the full report

World

Iran did not invade Kuwait

Iran also kept its leadership unchanged and refrained from charging Hormuz fees.

95% certain
lead market 95%next 6%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  5. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  8. TN-04 House Election Winner: Scott DesJarlais (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  11. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  12. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes92%Sat 31 Oct
  15. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Fri 8 Jan
  17. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA68%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase76%Wed 9 Dec
  20. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%70%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  23. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google69%Sat 31 Oct
  25. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  26. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No82%Tue 5 Jan
  27. NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 70-75%58%Wed 4 Nov
  28. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes80%Thu 10 Dec
  30. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  31. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  32. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  35. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  36. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate63%Wed 4 Nov
  38. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an61%Sun 29 Nov
  39. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  40. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  41. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  44. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  45. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  46. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro71%Sun 25 Oct
  47. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  48. AI bubble burst in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No99%Tue 20 Oct
  50. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)67%Thu 31 Dec
  51. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 340-35935%Tue 20 Oct
  52. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  53. Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Elon Musk95%Sun 3 Jan
  54. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  55. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  57. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)73%Wed 4 Nov
  58. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  59. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  60. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%Wed 4 Nov
  62. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  64. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Luca Niculescu99%Thu 31 Dec
  65. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 80%Wed 4 Nov
  66. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  67. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  68. Fed Decision in January?: No change62%Thu 28 Jan
  69. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  70. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  71. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday56%Mon 1 Feb
  72. Spain General Election Winner: PP85%Mon 30 Nov
  73. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike68%Wed 9 Dec
  74. [ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?: No90%Thu 31 Dec
  75. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No95%Tue 5 Jan
  76. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No66%Sat 31 Oct
  77. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro77%Mon 26 Oct
  80. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  81. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  82. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%70%Fri 30 Oct
  83. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  84. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%77%Tue 20 Oct
  85. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes85%Thu 31 Dec
  86. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  87. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  88. Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  89. Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  90. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  91. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula61%Mon 26 Oct
  92. Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?: No97%Sat 2 Jan
  93. Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Morgan Wallen87%Thu 1 Apr
  94. New Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Su Chiao-hui65%Sun 29 Nov
  95. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  97. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession42%Thu 31 Dec
  98. Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?: No85%Thu 31 Dec
  99. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday66%Mon 1 Feb
  100. Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu76%Sun 17 Jan
  101. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?: No93%Tue 5 Jan
  102. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?: Yes84%Wed 21 Oct
  103. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula82%Mon 26 Oct
  104. Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  105. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic98%Sun 1 Nov
  106. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?: No92%Tue 5 Jan
  107. Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day57%Fri 1 Jan
  108. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  109. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: Flávio Bolsonaro96%Mon 26 Oct
  110. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic91%Sun 1 Nov
  111. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  112. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic52%Sat 31 Oct
  113. Best AI model on October 19?: gemini-4-argon-high87%Tue 20 Oct
  114. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI87%Sat 31 Oct
  115. OpenAI resumes training on...?: Not resumed by October 2096%Wed 21 Oct
  116. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Google56%Sat 31 Oct
  117. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI92%Sat 31 Oct
  118. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?: Yes77%Wed 21 Oct
  119. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Flavio Bolsonaro92%Mon 26 Oct
  120. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 140-15933%Tue 20 Oct
  121. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  123. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout: 78-80%56%Mon 26 Oct
  124. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic87%Sun 1 Nov
  125. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI88%Sun 1 Nov
  126. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No74%Mon 19 Oct
  127. October Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%83%Wed 11 Nov
  128. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20): Love Is Blind: Boston96%Wed 21 Oct
  129. Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  130. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20): East of Eden: Limited Series99%Wed 21 Oct
  131. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?: 12.5% to 15%76%Tue 20 Oct
  132. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI90%Sat 31 Oct
  133. October Unemployment Rate: 4.2%38%Fri 6 Nov
  134. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas: Lula97%Mon 26 Oct
  135. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro99%Mon 26 Oct
  136. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3972%Fri 23 Oct
  137. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 160-17931%Tue 20 Oct
  138. United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?: 84% to 85%70%Tue 20 Oct
  139. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life96%Wed 21 Oct
  140. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9958%Tue 20 Oct
  141. Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: <589%Fri 23 Oct
  142. Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth?: 1.5% to 2.5%35%Thu 22 Oct
  143. Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.6B?: No71%Tue 20 Oct
  144. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals99%Wed 21 Oct
  145. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life99%Wed 21 Oct
  146. Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth?: 6% to 8%63%Wed 21 Oct
  147. Fed Decision in October?: No change87%Thu 29 Oct
  148. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot49%Wed 28 Oct
  149. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  150. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane61%Sat 31 Oct
  151. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  152. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  155. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić70%Sun 25 Oct
  156. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  157. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  159. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  160. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  161. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  162. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro77%Thu 31 Dec
  163. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  164. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  166. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  167. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  169. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli96%Sun 6 Dec
  170. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  171. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  172. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  173. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX67%Thu 31 Dec
  181. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202795%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  183. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%Sun 25 Oct
  185. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  187. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 498%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  189. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement92%Wed 4 Nov
  192. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  194. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  195. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  196. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar66%Wed 28 Oct
  202. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  203. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  204. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?: Yes92%Mon 19 Oct
  206. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  207. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  209. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes60%Fri 1 Jan
  212. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  213. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers63%Sat 31 Oct
  214. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  215. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes75%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic47%Thu 31 Dec
  220. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  221. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  223. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  224. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No92%Thu 31 Dec
  225. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China80%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers14%Thu 1 Apr
  228. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: Yes81%Fri 1 Jan
  230. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  233. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No60%Mon 30 Nov
  234. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  236. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC21%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Bachelorette Season 22 Winner: Other (Season Cancelled)88%Mon 30 Nov
  240. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  241. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  243. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes79%Wed 4 Nov
  244. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  246. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  247. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  248. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: Yes66%Mon 30 Nov
  249. Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.