AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 18 October 2026
Edition of Friday, 16 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 18 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Friday, 16 April 2027.

Sports

Mercedes secured F1 Constructors' championship as Antonelli claimed Drivers' title

The Tampa Bay Rays won the American League and the Buffalo Bills secured the AFC championship.

12% certain
lead market 12%next 11%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Apr

The sports calendar ended with a string of surprise triumphs. Mercedes secured the Formula One Constructors' crown and Kimi Antonelli captured the Drivers' title. The Tampa Bay Rays won the American League, the San Francisco 49ers captured the NFC, the Buffalo Bills won the AFC, and rookie Brock Purdy earned MVP honors.

The team accumulated enough points to finish ahead of rivals by the season's close. Antonelli secured the Drivers' championship on December 6, outpacing seasoned competitors.

Read the full report

World

U.S. did not declare war on Iran in 2026

No nuclear pact was signed and no invasion took place, while ceasefire talks fell apart by year-end.

59% certain
lead market 59%next 41%1 venuesettles Mon 30 Nov

World

Iran did not end Uranium enrichment in 2026

Iran failed to end Uranium enrichment and did not withdraw from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2026.

86% certain
lead market 86%next 14%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Politics

Trump's approval fell below 39% on Oct. 23

The former president's rating dipped to 38.5-38.9%, while Democrats retained a 62-64% chance of keeping senate control.

33% certain
lead market 33%next 27%1 venuesettles Sat 24 Oct

Culture

Street Fighter opened with $30-35 million

Street Fighter opened with $30-35 million, and other Mommy earned under $10 million in its second Weekend

86% certain
lead market 86%next 11%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot53%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  6. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)97%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  8. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  9. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Fri 8 Jan
  12. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)65%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  14. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase75%Wed 9 Dec
  15. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  16. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  17. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  19. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins71%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes80%Thu 10 Dec
  27. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  29. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  31. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  34. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  35. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  36. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  37. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  38. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  40. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  41. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  44. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers12%Thu 1 Apr
  45. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  48. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No59%Mon 30 Nov
  49. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  52. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  53. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  54. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes78%Wed 4 Nov
  55. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  56. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)67%Thu 31 Dec
  57. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes98%Thu 1 Apr
  58. Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2443%Wed 28 Oct
  60. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  62. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  66. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 360-37926%Tue 20 Oct
  67. Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  68. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  70. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes96%Sat 31 Oct
  71. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  72. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  73. Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  74. US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: No68%Thu 31 Dec
  75. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes65%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  77. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday56%Mon 1 Feb
  78. MLB: 2026 American League Champion: Tampa Bay Rays56%Tue 1 Dec
  79. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No95%Sat 31 Oct
  80. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  81. Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion : Buffalo Bills20%Thu 1 Apr
  82. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  83. Fed Decision in January?: No change63%Thu 28 Jan
  84. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No95%Tue 5 Jan
  85. Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion : San Francisco 49ers79%Mon 25 Jan
  86. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike67%Wed 9 Dec
  87. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  89. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No72%Sat 31 Oct
  90. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  91. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  93. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  94. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  96. Spread: Jaguars (-2.5): Jaguars57%Sun 18 Oct
  97. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  98. Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  99. Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner: Brock Purdy24%Mon 15 Feb
  100. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change81%Wed 28 Oct
  101. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  102. Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  103. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  104. Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  105. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  106. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  107. Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?: No97%Sat 2 Jan
  108. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  109. Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  110. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday65%Mon 1 Feb
  111. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No74%Fri 1 Jan
  112. Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  113. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?: No94%Tue 5 Jan
  114. Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  115. Spread: Chiefs (-3.5): Chiefs62%Sun 18 Oct
  116. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession63%Thu 31 Dec
  117. Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  118. Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day56%Fri 1 Jan
  119. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?: No88%Tue 5 Jan
  120. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?: Yes67%Tue 5 Jan
  121. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-35m95%Sun 18 Oct
  122. Spread: Colts (-6.5): Colts59%Sun 18 Oct
  123. Texans vs. Jaguars: Jaguars58%Sun 18 Oct
  124. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m96%Sun 18 Oct
  125. Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5: Over66%Tue 20 Oct
  126. Spread: Browns (-3.5): Ravens72%Sun 18 Oct
  127. Spread: Packers (-7.5): Cowboys63%Mon 19 Oct
  128. Chargers vs. Chiefs: Chiefs67%Sun 18 Oct
  129. Spread: Patriots (-7.5): Jets65%Sun 18 Oct
  130. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  131. Ravens vs. Browns: Ravens59%Sun 18 Oct
  132. Spread: Rams (-21.5): Cardinals67%Sun 18 Oct
  133. Spread: Texans (-3.5): Jaguars76%Sun 18 Oct
  134. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  135. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  136. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change56%Fri 30 Oct
  137. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative78%Sat 24 Oct
  138. Cowboys vs. Packers: Packers55%Mon 19 Oct
  139. Spread: Bears (-1.5): Falcons61%Sun 18 Oct
  140. Spread: Ravens (-3.5): Browns60%Sun 18 Oct
  141. Nitra Mayoral Election Winner: Marek Hattas90%Sun 25 Oct
  142. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 140-15926%Tue 20 Oct
  143. Titans vs. Colts: Colts75%Sun 18 Oct
  144. Prešov Mayoral Election Winner: František Oľha81%Sun 25 Oct
  145. Poprad Mayoral Election Winner: Anton Danko92%Sun 25 Oct
  146. "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m-8m86%Sun 18 Oct
  147. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+100%Sun 18 Oct
  148. Trnava Mayoral Election Winner: Eva Nemčovská65%Sun 25 Oct
  149. "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office: <10m99%Sun 18 Oct
  150. Central Bank of Chile decision in October: No change98%Tue 27 Oct
  151. Žilina Region Governor Election Winner: Erika Jurinová95%Sun 25 Oct
  152. Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner: Ján Forgáč88%Sun 25 Oct
  153. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets): 30m-33m88%Sun 18 Oct
  154. Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Kevin Acton84%Sun 25 Oct
  155. Trnava Region Governor Election Winner: Jozef Viskupič93%Sun 25 Oct
  156. Košice Region Governor Election Winner: Rastislav Trnka67%Sun 25 Oct
  157. Žilina Mayoral Election Winner: Peter Fiabáne73%Sun 25 Oct
  158. Prešov Region Governor Election Winner: Milan Majerský88%Sun 25 Oct
  159. British Columbia General Election: 3rd Place: Greens90%Sat 24 Oct
  160. British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place: NDP74%Sat 24 Oct
  161. "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 1m-2m98%Sun 18 Oct
  162. Ted Cruz # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 120-13951%Fri 23 Oct
  163. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3959%Fri 23 Oct
  164. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9954%Tue 20 Oct
  165. Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: <575%Fri 23 Oct
  166. Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?: No82%Sat 24 Oct
  167. Trump approval rating on October 23?: 38.5–38.933%Sat 24 Oct
  168. Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner: Diana Javorčíková59%Sun 25 Oct
  169. Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Gordon Zhang83%Sun 25 Oct
  170. Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Garry Purewal55%Sun 25 Oct
  171. Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Margareta Dovgal64%Sun 25 Oct
  172. Democratic Senate odds on October 23?: 62-64%40%Fri 23 Oct
  173. North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Anna Kindy54%Sun 25 Oct
  174. NYC Mayor # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3984%Fri 23 Oct
  175. Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Garry Thind74%Sun 25 Oct
  176. Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Jaime Stein70%Sun 25 Oct
  177. Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Paul Choi55%Sun 25 Oct
  178. Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Zeeshan Wahla59%Sun 25 Oct
  179. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Ryan Peterson73%Sun 25 Oct
  180. Fed Decision in October?: No change85%Thu 29 Oct
  181. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane58%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  184. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  185. TN-04 House Election Winner: Scott DesJarlais (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  186. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  191. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes93%Sat 31 Oct
  192. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić70%Sun 25 Oct
  195. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  196. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  197. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  198. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  202. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  203. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  205. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  206. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  207. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  208. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google75%Sat 31 Oct
  209. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No82%Tue 5 Jan
  213. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX62%Thu 31 Dec
  216. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  217. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  218. MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 3%+61%Wed 4 Nov
  219. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  220. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%Sun 25 Oct
  223. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%69%Fri 1 Jan
  224. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  226. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 578%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement91%Wed 4 Nov
  228. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  230. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  231. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  234. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  239. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA67%Fri 1 Jan
  240. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China75%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  245. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  247. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes60%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova89%Mon 26 Oct
  249. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers63%Sat 31 Oct
  250. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic46%Thu 31 Dec
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.