AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 16 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 14 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 16 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Wednesday, 14 April 2027.

Culture

Morgan Wallen topped Billboard chart as AI songs missed top 20

AI-generated tracks failed to reach the Hot 100 top 20 and producer Max Martin skipped Taylor Swift's wedding.

84% certain
lead market 84%next 16%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

Morgan Wallen claimed the year-end number-one spot on Billboard's 2026 chart. AI-generated songs did not break into the Hot 100's top twenty during the same period. Producer Max Martin was absent from Taylor Swift's wedding.

Billboard named Morgan Wallen the top Artist for 2026. The designation reflected his overall performance across the year. No other performer surpassed his standing in the final tally.

Read the full report

Politics

Democrats won control of house and senate

Republicans lost the house while Oil prices above $80 accompanied the Democratic Senate win.

57% certain
lead market 57%next 31%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

Politics

Democrats win Georgia Senate seat

Democrats also captured senate races in New Hampshire and Alaska, securing majorities in several swing-state legislatures.

57% certain
lead market 57%next 31%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

Science

Google secured #1 AI model ranking in October

Anthropic led the AI Agent benchmark, while OpenAI did not launch any consumer hardware by the end of October.

45% certain
lead market 45%next 45%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

World

Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October 2026

Israel kept the ceasefire with Iran through October, and refrained from accusing proxies or attacking Syria or Beirut.

76% certain
lead market 76%next 25%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Science

Apple unveiled foldable iPhone

Fable released its 5.2+ model and NVIDIA topped the global corporate rankings.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 13%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Politics

Elon Musk tweeted 340-359 times between Oct 9-16

Donald Trump posted over 200 Truth Social updates and the New York City Mayor posted between 20 and 39 messages in the same period.

31% certain
lead market 31%next 31%1 venuesettles Fri 16 Oct

Politics

Alberta voted to stay in Canada

The Referendum on 20 October saw 60% support staying in Canada.

53% certain
lead market 53%next 47%1 venuesettles Mon 19 Oct

Politics

Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

New mayors also took office in Saanich, Kamloops and Richmond on the same day.

54% certain
lead market 54%next 46%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Fed Decision in October?: No change84%Thu 29 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei87%Thu 31 Dec
  7. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  12. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes89%Sat 31 Oct
  13. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  14. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes89%Sat 31 Oct
  15. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  18. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%58%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google69%Sat 31 Oct
  24. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  30. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?: Yes92%Fri 16 Oct
  31. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  35. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  36. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  37. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)52%Wed 4 Nov
  38. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 340-35931%Fri 16 Oct
  43. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  44. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  46. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No61%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $80; D Senate57%Wed 4 Nov
  48. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins76%Wed 4 Nov
  49. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No65%Fri 1 Jan
  50. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  52. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No97%Tue 20 Oct
  53. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change95%Fri 30 Oct
  54. Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  58. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)52%Wed 4 Nov
  59. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  61. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  63. Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  64. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes96%Sat 31 Oct
  65. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
  66. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  67. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No95%Sat 31 Oct
  69. [ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  70. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  72. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No65%Sat 31 Oct
  73. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  74. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  75. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  76. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes83%Sat 31 Oct
  77. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi56%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA88%Sun 1 Nov
  79. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change81%Wed 28 Oct
  80. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry61%Sun 18 Oct
  81. Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  82. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  84. Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  85. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  86. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  87. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Morgan Wallen86%Thu 1 Apr
  90. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16?: Yes96%Fri 16 Oct
  91. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?: No84%Thu 31 Dec
  93. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 50–55M96%Sun 18 Oct
  94. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No76%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic89%Sun 1 Nov
  97. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  98. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  99. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  100. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Meta50%Sat 31 Oct
  101. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  102. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic46%Sat 31 Oct
  103. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries95%Sun 18 Oct
  104. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI59%Sat 31 Oct
  105. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic95%Sun 1 Nov
  106. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Google45%Sat 31 Oct
  107. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  108. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI76%Sat 31 Oct
  109. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?: 270-280M41%Sun 18 Oct
  110. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+43%Tue 20 Oct
  111. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?: No90%Fri 16 Oct
  112. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%60%Tue 20 Oct
  113. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly74%Sun 18 Oct
  114. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard60%Sun 18 Oct
  115. Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: Alibaba81%Sat 31 Oct
  116. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan65%Sun 18 Oct
  117. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change74%Fri 30 Oct
  118. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  119. VALORANT Champions 2026: Winner: LOUD37%Tue 20 Oct
  120. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?: No94%Fri 16 Oct
  121. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge95%Sat 17 Oct
  122. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz73%Sun 18 Oct
  123. Surrey Mayoral Election: did not happen96%Sun 18 Oct
  124. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic94%Sun 1 Nov
  125. Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?: No85%Wed 21 Oct
  126. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes69%Wed 28 Oct
  127. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google97%Sun 1 Nov
  128. Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?: Yes80%Sat 17 Oct
  129. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  130. White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+88%Tue 20 Oct
  131. Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?: No100%Sun 18 Oct
  132. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 137%Wed 28 Oct
  133. Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026?: No95%Fri 16 Oct
  134. Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of October 12 2026?: No90%Fri 16 Oct
  135. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No53%Mon 19 Oct
  136. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Kyle Sampson71%Sun 18 Oct
  137. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google60%Sat 31 Oct
  138. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <589%Fri 16 Oct
  139. VALORANT Champions 2026 Winning Region: Americas74%Tue 20 Oct
  140. Democratic Senate odds on October 16?: 62-64%52%Fri 16 Oct
  141. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?: 25-2933%Mon 19 Oct
  142. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 120-13961%Tue 20 Oct
  143. Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 12 2026?: No90%Fri 16 Oct
  144. How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?: 170-18950%Mon 19 Oct
  145. NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3996%Tue 20 Oct
  146. Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 100-11970%Fri 16 Oct
  147. Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?: No94%Fri 16 Oct
  148. CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3965%Tue 20 Oct
  149. Trump approval rating on October 16?: 38.4+70%Sat 17 Oct
  150. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen54%Sun 18 Oct
  151. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $70?: Yes85%Fri 16 Oct
  152. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen72%Sun 18 Oct
  153. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series96%Wed 21 Oct
  154. Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?: 32% to 34%61%Tue 20 Oct
  155. Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?: No75%Sun 18 Oct
  156. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Norm: The Tale of Norm Macdonald28%Wed 21 Oct
  157. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series94%Wed 21 Oct
  158. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals80%Wed 21 Oct
  159. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot49%Wed 28 Oct
  160. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  161. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  162. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  163. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)97%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane58%Sat 31 Oct
  165. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  169. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić75%Sun 25 Oct
  171. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  172. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  173. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  174. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 471%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro71%Thu 31 Dec
  176. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  177. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  178. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  179. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  180. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  182. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase77%Wed 9 Dec
  184. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  186. KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 20-25%58%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Tue 5 Jan
  192. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX59%Thu 31 Dec
  195. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  196. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  198. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes80%Thu 10 Dec
  199. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  200. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%Mon 26 Oct
  201. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  202. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  203. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%Sun 25 Oct
  206. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  207. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA67%Fri 1 Jan
  213. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers65%Sat 31 Oct
  214. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova87%Mon 26 Oct
  215. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  216. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  219. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  220. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202699%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes60%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  224. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  225. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  226. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  230. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an63%Sun 29 Nov
  231. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  232. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  233. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  234. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers12%Thu 1 Apr
  237. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar61%Wed 28 Oct
  238. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  239. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes74%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement95%Wed 4 Nov
  242. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  243. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: Yes76%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic46%Thu 31 Dec
  248. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.