AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 11 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 13 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Sunday, 11 April 2027.

Culture

Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office

Spider-Man: Brand New Day led box-office earnings and Obsession topped Google Movie searches in 2026.

37% certain
lead market 37%next 34%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

Spider-Man: Brand New Day captured the bulk of box-office earnings. At the same time, the horror title Obsession attracted the most Google searches for a Movie

Spider-Man: Brand New Day emerged as the year's Highest-grossing picture, according to the final box-office tally released on 8 January. The film's total surpassed all other releases, including Avengers: Doomsday, Scream 7 and Toy Story 5. Its performance reflected strong audience turnout throughout the year. The Movie also secured the largest opening-weekend haul of any 2026 release.

Read the full report

Politics

Democrats win house and senate, sweeping Congress

Democrats captured both chambers in the 2026 Midterms, taking the house and senate and ending Republican hopes for a majority.

61% certain
lead market 61%next 28%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

Politics|Economics|Crypto

Xavier Becerra won California governor race

Becerra's victory coincided with a Q3 GDP rise above 3% and Bitcoin climbing past $82,000.

59% certain
lead market 59%next 32%1 venuesettles Tue 13 Oct

World

Hormuz traffic remained disrupted

Bab el-Mandeb stayed closed and Houthi forces failed to capture Perim Island.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 24%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

World

Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October

Israel also refrained from accusing Iran of the plane stabbing and avoided military action in Beirut.

86% certain
lead market 86%next 14%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Science

Gemini 4 Argon launched while Muse topped App Store

Gemini 4 Argon launched on October 13 and Muse hit #1 in iPhone App Store on October 15, with Muse Spark's update delayed beyond October

37% certain
lead market 37%next 13%1 venuesettles Sat 17 Oct

Economics

US Core CPI held at 2.4% in September

September data showed US Core CPI at 2.4% and annual inflation at 3.7%, while Argentina's monthly rise stayed near 2%.

49% certain
lead market 49%next 30%1 venuesettles Thu 15 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Fed Decision in October?: No change79%Thu 29 Oct
  5. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei91%Thu 31 Dec
  10. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  11. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  12. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  15. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes89%Sat 31 Oct
  16. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  19. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No92%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  23. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  29. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  31. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%61%Fri 30 Oct
  32. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 360-37944%Tue 13 Oct
  35. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?: Yes91%Tue 13 Oct
  36. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  38. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  40. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  43. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes90%Thu 15 Oct
  44. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No60%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an66%Sun 29 Nov
  47. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  50. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  51. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change90%Fri 30 Oct
  52. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No97%Tue 20 Oct
  53. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  54. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No57%Mon 30 Nov
  55. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  57. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No78%Sat 31 Oct
  58. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes70%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day60%Mon 1 Feb
  60. Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  62. Iran full airspace closure by December 31?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  63. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No93%Fri 16 Oct
  64. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 22–2334%Wed 4 Nov
  65. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  66. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  68. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%59%Thu 15 Oct
  69. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry68%Sun 18 Oct
  70. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Luca Niculescu99%Thu 31 Dec
  72. Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa: Dayana Yastremska100%Mon 19 Oct
  73. Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova100%Mon 19 Oct
  74. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  75. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets: Katie Volynets93%Tue 20 Oct
  78. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi44%Sat 31 Oct
  79. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  80. Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?: Yes90%Fri 1 Jan
  81. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  82. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change88%Wed 28 Oct
  83. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  84. Will any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?: Yes74%Thu 31 Dec
  85. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  86. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  87. Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?: Yes58%Thu 7 Jan
  88. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  90. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  91. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No89%Sun 29 Nov
  93. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  94. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession37%Thu 31 Dec
  95. Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?: Yes96%Mon 4 Jan
  96. Spain General Election Winner: PP86%Mon 30 Nov
  97. Nigerian Presidential Election Winner: Bola Tinubu77%Sun 17 Jan
  98. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  99. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic88%Sun 1 Nov
  100. Bitcoin price on October 13?: 82,000-84,00059%Tue 13 Oct
  101. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change92%Wed 21 Oct
  102. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%58%Fri 30 Oct
  103. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic88%Sun 1 Nov
  104. Wuhan Tennis Open: Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska: Maja Chwalinska97%Mon 19 Oct
  105. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change78%Wed 28 Oct
  106. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%49%Thu 15 Oct
  107. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+40%Fri 30 Oct
  108. Will Gemini 4 Argon be released publicly before October 15: Yes70%Wed 14 Oct
  109. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries66%Sun 18 Oct
  110. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  111. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%62%Thu 15 Oct
  112. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI64%Sat 31 Oct
  113. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 100-11931%Tue 13 Oct
  114. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke81%Sun 18 Oct
  115. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly69%Sun 18 Oct
  116. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic77%Sat 31 Oct
  117. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change64%Fri 30 Oct
  118. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic56%Sat 31 Oct
  119. Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea: Sorana Cirstea95%Mon 19 Oct
  120. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz57%Sun 18 Oct
  121. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI87%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI82%Sun 1 Nov
  123. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard46%Sun 18 Oct
  124. Gemini Argon released on...?: October 1376%Wed 14 Oct
  125. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No55%Mon 19 Oct
  126. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%86%Thu 15 Oct
  127. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan72%Sun 18 Oct
  128. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  129. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3170%Tue 13 Oct
  130. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic84%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge94%Sat 17 Oct
  132. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger60%Sun 18 Oct
  133. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%61%Tue 20 Oct
  135. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%56%Wed 14 Oct
  136. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%52%Wed 14 Oct
  137. Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Harshan Ramadass65%Sun 18 Oct
  138. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Simon Yu45%Sun 18 Oct
  139. Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Jack Crompton98%Sun 18 Oct
  140. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change91%Fri 30 Oct
  141. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  143. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3137%Sat 17 Oct
  144. Has OpenAI made a cryptanalytic breakthrough?: No91%Sat 7 Nov
  145. Nanaimo Mayoral Election: Leonard Krog97%Sun 18 Oct
  146. Argentina monthly inflation: September: Between 1.9% and 2.1%63%Tue 13 Oct
  147. Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  148. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 25-30m44%Sun 18 Oct
  149. Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 80-9955%Tue 13 Oct
  150. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <578%Fri 16 Oct
  151. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone70%Sun 18 Oct
  152. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sager65%Sun 18 Oct
  153. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Victor Cumming63%Sun 18 Oct
  154. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+59%Sun 18 Oct
  155. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m53%Sun 18 Oct
  156. Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Eric Woodward59%Sun 18 Oct
  157. Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No78%Mon 19 Oct
  158. NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3981%Fri 16 Oct
  159. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  160. CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3965%Fri 16 Oct
  161. Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes94%Mon 19 Oct
  162. Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No67%Mon 19 Oct
  163. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 15th 2026: Yes79%Thu 15 Oct
  164. Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?: $50-$6084%Fri 16 Oct
  165. Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of October 12 2026?: No78%Fri 16 Oct
  166. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?: Yes100%Fri 16 Oct
  167. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić75%Sun 25 Oct
  169. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot48%Wed 28 Oct
  170. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  175. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  177. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  178. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  180. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  181. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  182. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane59%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  186. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  187. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)93%Wed 4 Nov
  188. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  189. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  190. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  192. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  193. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  194. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  196. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%51%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  200. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes80%Thu 10 Dec
  202. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  204. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  207. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase74%Wed 9 Dec
  208. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 478%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Tue 5 Jan
  210. OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 25-30%54%Wed 4 Nov
  211. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  214. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  215. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA77%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic53%Thu 31 Dec
  219. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC20%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  221. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills12%Thu 1 Apr
  226. Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München79%Tue 13 Oct
  227. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  228. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  230. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  231. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  232. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement88%Wed 4 Nov
  234. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  235. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  236. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia63%Sun 25 Oct
  238. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: Yes99%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona75%Tue 13 Oct
  240. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  241. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  242. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers46%Sat 31 Oct
  243. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  245. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova87%Mon 26 Oct
  249. Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.