AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 5 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 3 April 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 5 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Saturday, 3 April 2027.

Politics

Democrats won Congress and Wisconsin governorship

Democrats seized control of Congress and won Wisconsin's governor's seat, prompting a Democratic-led federal Shutdown

62% certain
lead market 62%next 38%1 venuesettles Tue 1 Dec

Democrats captured a majority in both the house of Representatives and the senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The party also won the Wisconsin Gubernatorial contest.

The House result ended the Republican majority that had persisted through the previous Congress. Democratic candidates secured enough seats to claim the chamber, overturning the prior 218-214 Republican advantage. The shift was confirmed on the night of the election.

Read the full report

Economics

China's Q3 2026 GDP growth topped 4%

Eurozone grew up to 1.1% and South Korea rose between 3.0% and 3.4% in the same quarter.

35% certain
lead market 35%next 35%1 venuesettles Wed 28 Oct

Politics

Éloïse Coulombe won in Charlesbourg

Patrick Paquet secured Vanier-Les Rivières while other ridings saw newcomers elected.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 48%1 venuesettles Mon 5 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  2. Fed Decision in October?: No change82%Thu 29 Oct
  3. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  7. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  8. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%58%Fri 1 Jan
  9. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  12. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes77%Thu 10 Dec
  14. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase70%Wed 9 Dec
  15. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  16. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ97%Tue 6 Oct
  18. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes83%Sat 31 Oct
  20. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  23. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No63%Tue 1 Dec
  29. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Tue 1 Dec
  30. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  31. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200-21947%Fri 9 Oct
  35. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  36. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)66%Thu 31 Dec
  37. Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 240-25943%Tue 6 Oct
  38. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes63%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes67%Fri 1 Jan
  40. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  41. Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No77%Sat 31 Oct
  43. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  44. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No96%Fri 29 Jan
  45. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon98%Tue 6 Oct
  46. France United Left Primary Winner: Canceled98%Mon 12 Oct
  47. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  48. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes86%Thu 31 Dec
  49. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  51. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?: <598%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes70%Wed 4 Nov
  53. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  54. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike60%Wed 9 Dec
  55. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  56. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  57. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change68%Wed 28 Oct
  58. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  59. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Fed Decision in January?: No change63%Thu 28 Jan
  61. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?: Yes88%Sun 1 Nov
  62. How many SpaceX launches in 2026?: 120-13961%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?: Shutdown & Democratic Party92%Mon 1 Feb
  64. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes70%Sun 1 Nov
  65. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl: Liam Draxl94%Mon 12 Oct
  66. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%42%Thu 15 Oct
  67. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  68. China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz: Alex de Minaur57%Mon 12 Oct
  69. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%75%Wed 21 Oct
  70. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  71. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  72. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change93%Wed 21 Oct
  73. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%43%Thu 15 Oct
  74. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  75. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%35%Wed 28 Oct
  76. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%52%Fri 30 Oct
  77. Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee: Raphael Glucksmann94%Sat 10 Oct
  78. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina: Federico Cina96%Mon 12 Oct
  79. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Shintaro Mochizuki98%Mon 12 Oct
  80. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%56%Wed 14 Oct
  81. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar: Carlos Alcaraz88%Mon 12 Oct
  82. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  83. Quebec General Election: Third Place: PCQ89%Tue 6 Oct
  84. Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?: No68%Mon 5 Oct
  85. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Unabomber96%Tue 6 Oct
  86. Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?: <583%Tue 6 Oct
  87. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris: Lloyd Harris79%Mon 12 Oct
  88. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change47%Fri 30 Oct
  89. Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Sylvie Tanguay71%Mon 5 Oct
  90. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz: Lorenzo Sonego76%Mon 12 Oct
  91. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Nikoloz Basilashvili55%Mon 12 Oct
  92. Suzhou: Alexandra Shubladze vs Tyra Caterina Grant: Alexandra Shubladze51%Tue 13 Oct
  93. Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Pierre-Luc Brillant70%Mon 5 Oct
  94. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%48%Thu 15 Oct
  95. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  96. Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Bernard Sévigny70%Mon 5 Oct
  97. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Alexandre Leduc84%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Isabelle Blais87%Mon 5 Oct
  99. Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Patrick Paquet94%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 160-17942%Tue 6 Oct
  101. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No75%Sat 31 Oct
  102. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?: Yes76%Tue 20 Oct
  103. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka: Alexander Shevchenko66%Mon 12 Oct
  104. China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev56%Mon 12 Oct
  105. Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?: 36-3960%Tue 6 Oct
  106. Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Charles Page68%Mon 5 Oct
  107. Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Éloïse Coulombe95%Mon 5 Oct
  108. Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Christian Savard51%Mon 5 Oct
  109. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%51%Thu 15 Oct
  110. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200+32%Fri 9 Oct
  111. Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?: 60-6430%Tue 6 Oct
  112. Next Mayor of Prague: Tomáš Portlík57%Sat 10 Oct
  113. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  114. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Benoit Clermont73%Mon 5 Oct
  115. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot: Jiri Lehecka65%Mon 12 Oct
  116. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series95%Tue 6 Oct
  117. La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Frédéric Côté89%Mon 5 Oct
  118. Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Frédéric Poulin84%Mon 5 Oct
  119. Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Chloé Fauchon64%Mon 5 Oct
  120. PPI YoY - September 2026: did not happen63%Fri 16 Oct
  121. Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Karine Laflamme90%Mon 5 Oct
  122. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 036%Wed 28 Oct
  123. Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Jean-François Cloutier94%Mon 5 Oct
  124. French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner: Raphaël Glucksmann96%Sat 10 Oct
  125. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part95%Tue 6 Oct
  126. Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Andrés Fontecilla82%Mon 5 Oct
  127. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: A Different World: Season 196%Tue 6 Oct
  128. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Doing Life56%Tue 6 Oct
  129. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series93%Tue 6 Oct
  130. Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  131. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Élodie Murphy-Gauthier64%Mon 5 Oct
  132. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 195%Tue 6 Oct
  133. Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: <598%Tue 6 Oct
  134. Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?: PQ 20-2941%Mon 5 Oct
  135. Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Marie-Claude Sarrazin86%Mon 5 Oct
  136. Next Mayor of Olomouc: Miroslava Ferancová97%Sat 10 Oct
  137. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9944%Fri 9 Oct
  138. Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?: 17+72%Tue 6 Oct
  139. Next Mayor of Brno: did not happen56%Sat 10 Oct
  140. Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: <590%Fri 9 Oct
  141. Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 100-11979%Tue 6 Oct
  142. Next Mayor of Ostrava: Richard Vereš73%Sat 10 Oct
  143. Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats? (Lower Strikes): <131%Mon 5 Oct
  144. NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3993%Fri 9 Oct
  145. CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3964%Fri 9 Oct
  146. Next Mayor of Liberec: Lukáš Hájek74%Sat 10 Oct
  147. How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: 6-9M91%Tue 6 Oct
  148. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  150. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  151. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane46%Sat 31 Oct
  153. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep65%Wed 4 Nov
  154. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  155. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  156. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  157. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms18%Sat 10 Oct
  159. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  160. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  162. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  163. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  164. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  165. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party67%Wed 4 Nov
  167. AL-07 House Election Winner: Terri Sewell (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  169. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day90%Fri 8 Jan
  170. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  171. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  172. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  173. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No69%Wed 4 Nov
  174. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  176. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli96%Sun 6 Dec
  177. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA83%Fri 1 Jan
  178. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  182. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  186. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  189. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  190. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic52%Thu 31 Dec
  191. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Tue 5 Jan
  192. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  197. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No97%Wed 18 Nov
  198. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  199. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  201. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No96%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  203. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  204. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  205. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  206. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  207. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 96%Wed 4 Nov
  208. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)54%Wed 4 Nov
  209. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills13%Thu 1 Apr
  211. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No93%Mon 4 Jan
  212. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  215. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  216. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?: No92%Mon 5 Oct
  217. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google66%Sat 31 Oct
  220. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes66%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: Yes99%Fri 1 Jan
  224. KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 30-35%58%Wed 4 Nov
  225. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  228. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  230. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  234. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 478%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China76%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic50%Thu 31 Dec
  241. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  243. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Bachelorette Season 22 Winner: Other (Season Cancelled)88%Mon 30 Nov
  246. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  247. Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?: 170%Thu 31 Dec
  248. S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?: No99%Thu 31 Dec
  249. Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]: No86%Sat 2 Jan
  250. Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.