58%Fed ended 2026 with funds rate at 4.25%69%Extended topped $150 million while others missed targets87%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202679%Ukraine war saw no ceasefire or territorial shifts in 202655%Anthropic topped AI Agent benchmark and secured SEC filing62%Saudi East-West Pipeline restarted as Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted74%NATO and Russia avoided direct clash in October32%OpenAI valuation rose to $1.0-$1.1 trillion in October61%Iran struck U.S. base and an Arab nation while keeping ceasefires23%Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize46%ECB, Bank of Israel, Colombia kept rates steady60%Olivia Chow and other progressive mayors won in October elections

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 2 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 31 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 2 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Wednesday, 31 March 2027.

Economics

Fed ended 2026 with funds rate at 4.25%

The Federal Reserve raised rates twice by 25 basis points each and kept the lower bound above 2.75%.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 23%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

The Federal Reserve concluded 2026 with its target federal funds rate set at 4.25 percent. Over the year the board implemented two quarter-point increases and did not lower rates at any meeting. The stance remained tight as inflation pressures persisted.

The final adjustment came in the December meeting, when policymakers raised the rate by 25 basis points. That move lifted the upper end of the target range to 4.50 percent. The decision followed a series of data releases that kept inflation above the Fed's 2 percent goal.

Read the full report

Sports

Broncos cover 20.5-point second-half Spread

The Broncos covered their 20.5-point second-half Spread and the Cowboys covered a 21.5-point line on Tuesday.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 50%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  2. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  3. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms23%Sat 10 Oct
  4. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei92%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  7. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  8. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%58%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  11. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase67%Wed 9 Dec
  14. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  15. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  16. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  18. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  19. Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  20. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes82%Sat 31 Oct
  21. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes75%Sat 31 Oct
  22. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  24. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  28. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 200-21944%Fri 2 Oct
  29. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  31. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar53%Wed 28 Oct
  33. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  34. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  36. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)85%Sun 4 Oct
  37. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)61%Thu 31 Dec
  38. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  39. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes69%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No90%Thu 31 Dec
  41. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change88%Fri 30 Oct
  42. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes77%Thu 10 Dec
  43. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes62%Sun 1 Nov
  44. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo99%Mon 5 Oct
  45. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: Valentin Vacherot100%Fri 9 Oct
  46. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis83%Mon 5 Oct
  47. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  48. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes70%Mon 5 Oct
  49. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas100%Mon 5 Oct
  50. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2434%Wed 28 Oct
  51. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow86%Tue 27 Oct
  53. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues64%Mon 5 Oct
  54. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco85%Mon 5 Oct
  55. China Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova100%Fri 9 Oct
  56. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite67%Mon 5 Oct
  57. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change67%Wed 28 Oct
  58. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  59. Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  60. Will the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  61. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos70%Mon 5 Oct
  62. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe87%Tue 27 Oct
  63. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles99%Mon 5 Oct
  64. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  65. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL66%Mon 5 Oct
  66. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello100%Mon 5 Oct
  67. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado63%Mon 5 Oct
  68. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa91%Mon 5 Oct
  69. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Deltan Dallagnol73%Mon 5 Oct
  70. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%39%Thu 15 Oct
  71. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas72%Sun 4 Oct
  72. Will Russia attack Europe with drones before October 31?: No74%Fri 30 Oct
  73. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Ken Sim97%Sun 18 Oct
  74. Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?: No90%Sun 4 Oct
  75. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 160%Tue 27 Oct
  76. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes87%Sat 17 Oct
  77. #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2): Cleveland! - Taylor Swift99%Fri 2 Oct
  78. Jingshan: Aliona Falei vs Sara Sorribes Tormo: Aliona Falei98%Fri 9 Oct
  79. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: No98%Sun 4 Oct
  80. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%42%Thu 15 Oct
  81. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  82. Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?: Yes54%Sat 31 Oct
  83. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  84. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  85. China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov96%Fri 9 Oct
  86. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries60%Sun 18 Oct
  87. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  88. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  89. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic55%Sat 31 Oct
  90. Will Iran strike US military base at least once before November?: Yes87%Sat 31 Oct
  91. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes82%Mon 12 Oct
  92. China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry: Diane Parry70%Fri 9 Oct
  93. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI86%Sat 31 Oct
  94. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri67%Tue 27 Oct
  95. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham64%Thu 29 Oct
  96. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic59%Sat 31 Oct
  97. Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?: No96%Tue 27 Oct
  98. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro90%Mon 5 Oct
  99. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes88%Wed 28 Oct
  100. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?: Yes95%Sat 3 Oct
  101. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca94%Tue 27 Oct
  102. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  103. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  104. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change46%Fri 30 Oct
  105. Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?: Yes61%Sat 31 Oct
  106. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 200+51%Tue 6 Oct
  107. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%38%Thu 15 Oct
  108. Will a new scandal emerge involving Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first round elections in 2026?: No88%Sat 3 Oct
  109. Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  110. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  111. Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  112. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 10: Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley95%Wed 7 Oct
  113. Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?: <595%Fri 2 Oct
  114. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%51%Thu 15 Oct
  115. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes75%Sun 1 Nov
  116. 2H Spread: Broncos (-20.5): Broncos52%Sun 25 Oct
  117. 2H Spread: Titans (-10.5): Browns52%Sun 25 Oct
  118. 2H Spread: Packers (-20.5): Packers53%Sun 25 Oct
  119. 2H Spread: Eagles (-16.5): Eagles51%Tue 27 Oct
  120. 2H Spread: Dolphins (-14.5): Dolphins52%Sun 25 Oct
  121. 2H Spread: Browns (-10.5): Browns53%Sun 25 Oct
  122. 2H Spread: Cowboys (-21.5): Cowboys53%Tue 27 Oct
  123. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 10: The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore97%Wed 7 Oct
  124. OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?: $1.00-$1.10T32%Sat 31 Oct
  125. 2H Spread: Jets (-2.5): Jets52%Sun 25 Oct
  126. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Mon 5 Oct
  127. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  128. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  129. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No95%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  132. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No61%Sat 3 Oct
  133. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  134. Fed Decision in October?: No change74%Thu 29 Oct
  135. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  136. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal51%Sat 31 Oct
  137. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  138. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  139. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No65%Tue 1 Dec
  140. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  141. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Tue 1 Dec
  142. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  143. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  145. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  147. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  148. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No74%Sat 31 Oct
  149. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  150. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  152. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  153. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  155. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Mon 5 Oct
  156. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  157. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes73%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)82%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No61%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro67%Thu 31 Dec
  163. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  164. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  165. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  166. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  168. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No93%Tue 3 Nov
  169. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  171. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  172. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No70%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No92%Tue 3 Nov
  174. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  175. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  176. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  178. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 475%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  180. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  181. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  182. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No95%Fri 2 Oct
  183. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  185. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  186. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  187. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic55%Thu 31 Dec
  188. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  189. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  191. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes86%Tue 5 Jan
  192. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  193. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No85%Mon 30 Nov
  194. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  198. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  199. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  201. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  202. Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?: No99%Thu 31 Dec
  203. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  204. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  205. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  207. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  208. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?: Yes90%Fri 2 Oct
  209. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos60%Mon 5 Oct
  210. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  211. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
  213. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes56%Wed 4 Nov
  214. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No72%Thu 15 Oct
  215. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  216. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  217. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers28%Sat 31 Oct
  218. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No78%Tue 5 Jan
  219. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Fri 2 Oct
  220. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA78%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  224. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  225. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  226. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes80%Wed 28 Oct
  228. Will Jordan Chiles's bronze medal be reinstated?: No62%Thu 31 Dec
  229. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  230. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  231. US recession by end of 2026?: No92%Sun 31 Jan
  232. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes72%Mon 30 Nov
  233. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  234. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No66%Tue 13 Oct
  235. Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?: No99%Thu 31 Dec
  236. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  238. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  240. 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨: No77%Mon 2 Nov
  241. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Fri 8 Jan
  242. Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?: Yes78%Thu 31 Dec
  243. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?: No76%Tue 3 Nov
  245. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No66%Sat 3 Oct
  246. Will Seth Bodnar win Montanas Senate Election?: No91%Tue 3 Nov
  247. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No70%Fri 6 Nov
  249. Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?: No95%Mon 30 Nov
  250. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.