62%Spider-Man: Brand New Day became 2026's Highest-grossing film61%Fed finished 2026 at 4.25% after two hikes52%Anthropic topped 2026 AI model rankings while OpenAI stayed under $2 trillion88%Bitcoin held above $82,000 on October 165%Five 2026 token launches missed one-day valuation targets86%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202694%Putin, Zelenskyy and Trump remained presidents through 202656%Democrats secured control of house and senate in 2026 Midterms60%Democrats won six senate seats, expanding majority44%ECB, Japan and Colombia kept rates unchanged in October59%Olivia Chow won Toronto Mayoral race35%Yashar party won Israeli election, Gadi Eizenkot became Prime Minister

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 1 October 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 30 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 1 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Tuesday, 30 March 2027.

Culture

Spider-Man: Brand New Day became 2026's Highest-grossing film

The film also posted the biggest opening weekend of the year.

62% certain
lead market 62%next 37%1 venuesettles Mon 1 Feb

Spider-Man: Brand New Day finished 2026 as the year's top-grossing film. It also recorded the largest opening weekend of any 2026 release. By September it had earned more domestically than Toy Story 5 and Scream 7 combined.

The domestic box-office tally placed Spider-Man: Brand New Day ahead of all other titles released this year. Competing releases such as Avengers: Doomsday, Scream 7 and Toy Story 5 fell short of its total. The ranking was confirmed in the final 2026 box-office summary.

Read the full report

World

Olivia Chow won Toronto Mayoral race

Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty and Mark Sutcliffe won Ottawa mayoralty.

59% certain
lead market 59%next 29%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Economics

US headline CPI rose 0.3% in September

September CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month while monthly CPI rose 0.6% and China's annual CPI hovered around 1%.

44% certain
lead market 44%next 35%1 venuesettles Thu 15 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro58%Mon 5 Oct
  2. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot47%Wed 28 Oct
  4. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No61%Sat 3 Oct
  5. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No65%Tue 1 Dec
  7. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Tue 1 Dec
  9. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  12. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  13. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  14. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  16. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro69%Mon 5 Oct
  20. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA78%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  25. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  26. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%Fri 8 Jan
  27. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%63%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  29. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  31. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  33. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  34. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  36. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes56%Wed 4 Nov
  37. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No78%Tue 5 Jan
  39. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase73%Wed 9 Dec
  40. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ96%Tue 6 Oct
  43. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?: Yes92%Thu 1 Oct
  44. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic52%Thu 31 Dec
  48. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  49. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No65%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  52. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  53. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  54. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 180-19934%Fri 2 Oct
  55. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No76%Sat 3 Oct
  56. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 1st 2026: Yes92%Thu 1 Oct
  58. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  59. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  60. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)61%Thu 31 Dec
  61. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar58%Wed 28 Oct
  62. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL97%Mon 5 Oct
  63. China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi: Qinwen Zheng100%Thu 8 Oct
  64. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes79%Tue 5 Jan
  65. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes72%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?: Yes88%Mon 5 Oct
  68. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day62%Mon 1 Feb
  69. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes82%Thu 10 Dec
  70. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No90%Tue 5 Jan
  71. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change90%Fri 30 Oct
  72. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  74. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No87%Thu 31 Dec
  75. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No92%Mon 5 Oct
  76. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  77. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?: Yes72%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  79. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis83%Mon 5 Oct
  81. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2435%Wed 28 Oct
  82. Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  83. Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?: No100%Tue 27 Oct
  84. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry64%Sun 18 Oct
  85. China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva: Alina Charaeva94%Wed 7 Oct
  86. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite77%Mon 5 Oct
  87. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 30–35M73%Sat 3 Oct
  88. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change63%Wed 28 Oct
  89. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL65%Mon 5 Oct
  90. Will the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  91. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado67%Mon 5 Oct
  92. China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech: Arthur Rinderknech51%Thu 8 Oct
  93. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  94. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon94%Tue 6 Oct
  95. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe91%Tue 27 Oct
  96. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow88%Tue 27 Oct
  97. Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?: No90%Sun 4 Oct
  98. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m92%Sun 4 Oct
  99. China Open: Katie Volynets vs Robin Montgomery: Katie Volynets100%Thu 8 Oct
  100. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%45%Thu 15 Oct
  101. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  102. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change87%Wed 21 Oct
  103. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%50%Thu 15 Oct
  104. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  105. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries63%Sun 18 Oct
  106. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: Yes96%Sun 4 Oct
  107. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham64%Thu 29 Oct
  108. #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2): Cleveland! - Taylor Swift97%Fri 2 Oct
  109. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard59%Sun 18 Oct
  110. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes94%Wed 28 Oct
  111. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office: 28m+76%Sun 4 Oct
  112. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke78%Sun 18 Oct
  113. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change44%Fri 30 Oct
  114. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%56%Thu 15 Oct
  115. Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No89%Mon 5 Oct
  116. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca92%Tue 27 Oct
  117. Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Frank Scarpitti91%Tue 27 Oct
  118. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%44%Thu 15 Oct
  119. Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score: Above 4086%Fri 2 Oct
  120. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%60%Wed 14 Oct
  121. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 10: Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley96%Wed 7 Oct
  122. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+87%Fri 16 Oct
  123. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change83%Fri 30 Oct
  124. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  125. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  127. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  128. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  129. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal43%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Fed Decision in October?: No change65%Thu 29 Oct
  132. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  133. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  134. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  135. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms17%Sat 10 Oct
  136. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No87%Tue 3 Nov
  137. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  138. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  139. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No63%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  142. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  143. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  144. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  145. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  146. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  147. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  148. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  149. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  150. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No69%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No92%Tue 3 Nov
  152. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  153. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  154. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  155. TN-04 House Election Winner: Scott DesJarlais (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  156. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  157. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  158. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  160. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No95%Fri 2 Oct
  161. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  162. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  163. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202792%Fri 1 Jan
  164. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  167. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No85%Mon 30 Nov
  168. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  172. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  175. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  176. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  177. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No91%Tue 6 Oct
  178. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  179. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  180. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
  182. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX51%Thu 31 Dec
  183. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  184. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  185. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  186. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  187. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC29%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  189. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  190. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos52%Mon 5 Oct
  192. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Fri 2 Oct
  193. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  194. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Wales vs. Norway: Norway74%Thu 1 Oct
  196. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes80%Wed 28 Oct
  197. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  198. US recession by end of 2026?: No91%Sun 31 Jan
  199. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  200. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes72%Mon 30 Nov
  201. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  202. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No66%Tue 13 Oct
  203. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  204. US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  205. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No92%Mon 4 Jan
  207. 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨: No77%Mon 2 Nov
  208. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  209. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  210. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No66%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  212. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  213. DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  214. Will Seth Bodnar win Montanas Senate Election?: No91%Tue 3 Nov
  215. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No71%Fri 6 Nov
  216. Will Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?: No76%Tue 3 Nov
  217. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No80%Sun 1 Nov
  218. Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?: No95%Mon 30 Nov
  219. Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?: Yes89%Wed 11 Nov
  220. Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?: No98%Thu 5 Nov
  221. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  222. Democrats win the 2026 Special Election for Senate in Florida?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  223. US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  224. Will Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ] : No94%Wed 14 Oct
  225. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins76%Wed 4 Nov
  226. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
  230. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes93%Sat 7 Nov
  231. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  232. El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms?: No75%Mon 2 Nov
  233. Will Aliens be discovered in the next three years?: No98%Sat 7 Nov
  234. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes73%Sat 31 Oct
  235. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  236. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  239. Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?: No89%Mon 30 Nov
  240. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola72%Wed 4 Nov
  241. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202699%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  245. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?: Yes77%Tue 3 Nov
  248. Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?: No98%Fri 6 Nov
  249. Will Jamie Joyce win the 2026 12th California Congressional district race?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  250. Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.