46%Fed ended 2026 at 4.25% after two 25-bp hikes61%Democrats secured senate, Schumer became majority leader55%Only Extended token topped $150 million FDV on launch day58%S&P 500 outperformed Bitcoin and Gold in 202686%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202652%Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister as other leaders stayed in office71%United States remained in NATO throughout 202663%Democrats won senate seats in Alaska, Maine and Michigan39%Fed held rates steady after September CPI rose 0.6%85%Parti Québécois won election, Liberal Party placed Second38%Liberal Party won most Senate seats in 2026 election51%OpenAI valuation plateaued just below $1 trillion

AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 26 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 25 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 26 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Thursday, 25 March 2027.

Economics

Fed ended 2026 at 4.25% after two 25-bp hikes

The central bank raised rates twice to 4.25% and the 10-year Treasury never fell below 3.8%.

46% certain
lead market 46%next 42%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate twice in 2026. Both moves were 25-basis-point increases, first in October and then in December. The actions left the target range at 4.25% by the close of the year.

At the October meeting the Fed announced a 25-basis-point rise. The decision added to the cumulative 50-basis-point tightening across 2026.

Read the full report

Sports

Ravens cover Cowboys in Sunday upset

Underdogs covered the Spread in multiple Sunday games and four contests finished under the total points line.

52% certain
lead market 52%next 48%1 venuesettles Sun 27 Sept

Culture

Avengers: Endgame Encore topped Weekend Box Office

Avengers: Endgame Encore led the Weekend Box Office while Heart of the Beast opened with $20-23 million and Primetime earned $16-19 million.

46% certain
lead market 46%next 35%1 venuesettles Sun 27 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Tue 27 Oct
  2. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  3. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase65%Thu 29 Oct
  4. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  6. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  10. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  11. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  12. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  13. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  14. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  15. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  16. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  17. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  19. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%46%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  22. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes90%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  24. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  25. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  26. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  27. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  28. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  30. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No93%Mon 4 Jan
  31. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ93%Mon 5 Oct
  33. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  38. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola72%Tue 3 Nov
  39. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase69%Wed 9 Dec
  40. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No55%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  46. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  47. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes93%Sat 7 Nov
  48. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  49. Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?: No89%Mon 30 Nov
  50. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  51. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  53. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  54. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?: No77%Thu 1 Oct
  55. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  56. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL98%Sun 4 Oct
  57. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026: S&P 50058%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes74%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  61. StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  62. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)51%Thu 31 Dec
  63. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?: Yes78%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Wed 30 Sept
  65. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  67. Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  68. Spread: Lions (-6.5): Lions54%Sun 27 Sept
  69. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  70. Chiefs vs. Dolphins: Chiefs65%Sun 27 Sept
  71. Spread: Seahawks (-7.5): Seahawks54%Sun 27 Sept
  72. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  73. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes83%Thu 31 Dec
  74. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 16-19m81%Sun 27 Sept
  75. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  77. Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  78. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No85%Sat 3 Oct
  79. Spread: Bengals (-3.5): Steelers54%Sun 27 Sept
  80. Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5: Under60%Sun 27 Sept
  81. Jets vs. Lions: Lions62%Sun 27 Sept
  82. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  83. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes91%Wed 9 Dec
  84. Spread: Bills (-7.5): Chargers53%Sun 27 Sept
  85. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?: Yes87%Tue 29 Sept
  87. Next Premier of Quebec: did not happen96%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Bengals vs. Steelers: Bengals56%Sun 27 Sept
  89. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  90. Spread: Chiefs (-10.5): Dolphins58%Sun 27 Sept
  91. Ravens vs. Cowboys: Ravens56%Sun 27 Sept
  92. Spread: Ravens (-3.5): Cowboys56%Sun 27 Sept
  93. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  94. Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5: Under59%Sun 27 Sept
  95. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%48%Thu 15 Oct
  96. People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?: No Change100%Wed 30 Sept
  97. Titans vs. Giants: O/U 38.5: Under56%Sun 27 Sept
  98. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado67%Sun 4 Oct
  99. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI94%Wed 30 Sept
  100. Spread: Panthers (-2.5): Browns57%Sun 27 Sept
  101. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic98%Thu 1 Oct
  102. Spread: Cowboys (-3.5): Ravens75%Sun 27 Sept
  103. Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 42.5: Under53%Sun 27 Sept
  104. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?: OpenAI97%Wed 30 Sept
  105. Rams vs. Broncos: Rams59%Mon 28 Sept
  106. Spread: 49ers (-8.5): Cardinals59%Sun 27 Sept
  107. Texans vs. Colts: Texans53%Sun 27 Sept
  108. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  109. Patriots vs. Jaguars: Jaguars54%Sun 27 Sept
  110. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic97%Wed 30 Sept
  111. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL98%Mon 5 Oct
  112. Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?: Yes66%Wed 30 Sept
  113. Spread: Jaguars (-2.5): Jaguars54%Sun 27 Sept
  114. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis55%Mon 5 Oct
  115. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite86%Sun 4 Oct
  116. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic97%Wed 30 Sept
  117. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Aécio Neves44%Sun 4 Oct
  118. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  119. Spread: Texans (-2.5): Colts52%Sun 27 Sept
  120. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  122. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?: Anthropic99%Wed 30 Sept
  123. Quebec General Election: Second Place: PLQ87%Mon 5 Oct
  124. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcio Bittar38%Mon 5 Oct
  125. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa88%Mon 5 Oct
  126. Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place: Jaques Wagner86%Mon 5 Oct
  127. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  128. "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office: <13m80%Sun 27 Sept
  129. #1 Box Office This Weekend?: Avengers: Endgame Encore94%Sun 27 Sept
  130. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%39%Thu 15 Oct
  131. "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office: 20-23m46%Sun 27 Sept
  132. OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?: $900B-$1.00T85%Wed 30 Sept
  133. US x China tariff agreement by September 30?: Yes88%Thu 1 Oct
  134. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%47%Thu 15 Oct
  135. Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  136. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  137. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?: No54%Thu 1 Oct
  138. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  139. Will OpenAI broadly release a dedicated Cyber model to Trusted Access users by Sep 30, 2026?: Yes51%Thu 1 Oct
  140. Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in Q3 2026?: Yes64%Wed 30 Sept
  141. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  142. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?: No80%Thu 1 Oct
  143. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  144. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%47%Thu 15 Oct
  145. Will OpenAI classify any model as "Critical" capability under its Preparedness Framework before Oct 1, 2026?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  146. No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?: Yes50%Fri 16 Oct
  147. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  148. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro54%Sun 4 Oct
  149. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  150. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  152. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  154. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  155. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep60%Tue 3 Nov
  156. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No57%Sat 3 Oct
  157. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane53%Sat 31 Oct
  158. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  159. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms23%Sat 10 Oct
  160. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No67%Tue 1 Dec
  161. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes64%Tue 1 Dec
  162. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  163. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  164. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  165. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  166. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro74%Sun 4 Oct
  167. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  168. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  170. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  171. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  172. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  173. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  175. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  176. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli90%Sun 6 Dec
  177. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  178. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No60%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro61%Thu 31 Dec
  181. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  182. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  183. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  185. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  187. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  189. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  190. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  191. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  192. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes68%Tue 3 Nov
  193. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  194. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  204. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Tue 5 Jan
  205. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  207. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman57%Thu 31 Dec
  209. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  210. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  212. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  213. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  214. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  215. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  216. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?: Yes93%Sat 26 Sept
  218. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  219. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes84%Tue 5 Jan
  220. US recession by end of 2026?: No89%Sun 31 Jan
  221. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  223. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic52%Thu 31 Dec
  224. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  230. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No70%Mon 30 Nov
  231. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No66%Fri 1 Jan
  233. MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 3%+54%Wed 4 Nov
  234. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  237. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  238. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  240. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes93%Sun 1 Nov
  242. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  243. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes84%Sat 31 Oct
  244. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  246. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  247. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  248. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  250. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within six months, then reported as though they already had.