Economics
Fed ended 2026 with rate at 4.25% after single Hike
The policy concluded at 4.25% with the lower bound staying above 2.75% and no cuts implemented.
38%
certain
The six months ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 14 Sept · not a record of events
Economics
The policy concluded at 4.25% with the lower bound staying above 2.75% and no cuts implemented.
Science
Anthropic secured a $1.75 trillion valuation, was judged to have the top AI model in October, and no major lab left the US or UK.
World
Mojtaba Khamenei stayed in power through 2026 and Iran made no progress on nuclear weapons or treaty changes.
World
No ceasefire in Ukraine occurred before the 2026 midterms, and the right led the AI culture war.
World
The United States secured no territory in Greenland and launched no strike against Cuba in 2026.
Politics
Xavier Becerra won California's governor seat while Karen Bass secured the Los Angeles mayor's office.
Politics
Republicans failed to retain the house, leaving Democrats with a modest majority.
Crypto
The cryptocurrency also hit $75,000 and avoided a $55,000 dip.
Politics
United Russia captured the Parliamentary vote and took the most Duma seats, while Vladimir Putin stayed in office.
Science
OpenAI led text-to-Image while Overall arena scores broke 1520 but fell short of 1530.
Politics
The United States failed to announce an end to the Iranian blockade by the September 30 deadline.
World
Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control and senior cleric Mojtaba Khamenei was not seen publicly by month's end.
World|Politics
The ruling party also prevented Yabloko from meeting the Duma entry threshold.
Politics
Linke secured over 20% of the vote and the largest parliamentary bloc, and the Greens earned a mid-teens share.
Other
Elon Musk posted 160-179 tweets and Apple postponed the iPhone 18 Pro.
Culture
Those Who Wish Me Dead placed second in US movies while the Gentlemen: season 2 led global shows.
Culture
Jean Smart and DTF St. Louis also earned top honors.
Economics
The policy concluded at 4.25% with the lower bound staying above 2.75% and no cuts implemented.
In 2026 the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy with a single 25-basis-point increase. The adjustment lifted the target range to 4.25% by the close of the year. Throughout the twelve months the committee refrained from cutting rates. Consequently, the lower bound of the range stayed above 2.75% at year-end.
The committee's meetings from July through October did not follow the usual pause-pause-pause sequence. Those sessions were classified as "Other" actions, reflecting a deviation from standard patterns. The October meeting specifically left the target range unchanged.
Politics
Republicans failed to retain the house, leaving Democrats with a modest majority.
Crypto
The cryptocurrency also hit $75,000 and avoided a $55,000 dip.
Politics
United Russia captured the Parliamentary vote and took the most Duma seats, while Vladimir Putin stayed in office.
Science
OpenAI led text-to-Image while Overall arena scores broke 1520 but fell short of 1530.
Politics
The United States failed to announce an end to the Iranian blockade by the September 30 deadline.
World
Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control and senior cleric Mojtaba Khamenei was not seen publicly by month's end.
World|Politics
The ruling party also prevented Yabloko from meeting the Duma entry threshold.
Politics
Linke secured over 20% of the vote and the largest parliamentary bloc, and the Greens earned a mid-teens share.
Other
Elon Musk posted 160-179 tweets and Apple postponed the iPhone 18 Pro.
Culture
Those Who Wish Me Dead placed second in US movies while the Gentlemen: season 2 led global shows.
Culture
Jean Smart and DTF St. Louis also earned top honors.
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.