Economics
Federal Reserve ended 2026 with 4.0% policy rate
The central bank delivered one Hike in early 2026 and held rates steady through the rest of the year.
42%
certain
The six months ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 7 Sept · not a record of events
Economics
The central bank delivered one Hike in early 2026 and held rates steady through the rest of the year.
Science
OpenAI made its Astra model public in October while it and other leading firms stayed in the US and UK.
Crypto
The cryptocurrency failed to reach $1 million and did not set a new all-time high.
World
Ukraine failed to retake Crimea and Russia fell short of controlling 95% of Donbass by year-end.
Culture
The Odyssey became the Highest-grossing R-rated film and Avengers: Doomsday logged the year's biggest opening weekend.
Politics
The party won Michigan and Maine seats and lost Texas and Alaska.
Politics
Eduardo Paes won Rio de Janeiro and Cleitinho Azevedo won Minas Gerais.
Politics
The PQ secured a majority and the party ruled out a sovereignty referendum during the upcoming term.
Politics
Lula secured a runoff spot over Bolsonaro with a sub-5% Margin; Tarcisio de Frietas failed to qualify.
World
The United States and Iran signed a limited peace pact and a ceasefire, even as formal nuclear talks ended without a deal.
World
Israel kept its airspace shut and its cease-fire with Iran held through September, while diplomatic talks with Lebanon failed to materialise.
World
Kharg Island remained under Iranian control and Bab el-Mandeb stayed open.
Economics
The Fed left rates unchanged on Sept. 16, marking a third consecutive pause as the economy posted growth in the first three quarters.
Economics
The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points and Zimbabwe's export ban cut global lithium supply by more than five kilotonnes.
Politics
United Russia won the Parliamentary election with 325, 339 seats, while the Communist Party placed second.
Politics
Die Linke secured Berlin's state election while Energy Minister Katharina Reiche remained in office.
Politics
United Russia retained its Duma seats and swept all regional contests; Yabloko failed to meet the parliamentary threshold.
Politics
Social Democrats won a minority plurality and Magdalena Andersson became Prime Minister, while the Riksdag remained fragmented.
Politics
New mayors took office in six Lower Saxony cities and Sinja Münzberg became Hannover Region president.
Sports
Iga Swiatek defeated Qinwen Zheng and Alexander Blockx upset Francisco Cerundolo.
Economics
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in August while China's annual inflation ran at 0.7-0.8%.
Politics
Kim Ahern secured the Democratic Attorney-general nomination while Xaykham Khamsyvoravong took the Lieutenant-governor spot.
Politics
Maura Sullivan secured the 1st district House nomination and Anthony DiLorenzo claimed the GOP gubernatorial slot.
Culture
Death of the Pastor's Wife led global shows while Beauty in Black held the US #2 spot
Economics
The central bank delivered one Hike in early 2026 and held rates steady through the rest of the year.
The Federal Reserve concluded 2026 with its policy rate set at 4.0 percent. Throughout most of the year the board left the target range unchanged, after delivering a single increase earlier in the session. The steady stance persisted through the final meetings of October and December.
The only rate Hike of the year occurred before the October meeting, as the board chose not to adjust the target in that session. The October decision left the rate unchanged, confirming that the earlier increase was the sole adjustment. A similar outcome unfolded at the December meeting, where no further change was made.
Politics
Eduardo Paes won Rio de Janeiro and Cleitinho Azevedo won Minas Gerais.
Politics
The PQ secured a majority and the party ruled out a sovereignty referendum during the upcoming term.
Politics
Lula secured a runoff spot over Bolsonaro with a sub-5% Margin; Tarcisio de Frietas failed to qualify.
World
The United States and Iran signed a limited peace pact and a ceasefire, even as formal nuclear talks ended without a deal.
World
Israel kept its airspace shut and its cease-fire with Iran held through September, while diplomatic talks with Lebanon failed to materialise.
World
Kharg Island remained under Iranian control and Bab el-Mandeb stayed open.
Economics
The Fed left rates unchanged on Sept. 16, marking a third consecutive pause as the economy posted growth in the first three quarters.
Economics
The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points and Zimbabwe's export ban cut global lithium supply by more than five kilotonnes.
Politics
United Russia won the Parliamentary election with 325, 339 seats, while the Communist Party placed second.
Politics
Die Linke secured Berlin's state election while Energy Minister Katharina Reiche remained in office.
Politics
United Russia retained its Duma seats and swept all regional contests; Yabloko failed to meet the parliamentary threshold.
Politics
Social Democrats won a minority plurality and Magdalena Andersson became Prime Minister, while the Riksdag remained fragmented.
Politics
New mayors took office in six Lower Saxony cities and Sinja Münzberg became Hannover Region president.
Sports
Iga Swiatek defeated Qinwen Zheng and Alexander Blockx upset Francisco Cerundolo.
Economics
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in August while China's annual inflation ran at 0.7-0.8%.
Politics
Kim Ahern secured the Democratic Attorney-general nomination while Xaykham Khamsyvoravong took the Lieutenant-governor spot.
Politics
Maura Sullivan secured the 1st district House nomination and Anthony DiLorenzo claimed the GOP gubernatorial slot.
Culture
Death of the Pastor's Wife led global shows while Beauty in Black held the US #2 spot
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.