AHEAD OF PRINT

The six months ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 5 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 4 March 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 5 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within six months — by Thursday, 4 March 2027.

Politics

Cinde Warmington won New Hampshire Democratic governor primary

Chris Pappas also won the senate primary with a 20-25% Margin

16% certain
lead market 16%next 15%1 venuesettles Tue 8 Sept5 markets behind this

Democrats swept New Hampshire's 2026 primary contests on Tuesday. Cinde Warmington secured the Democratic nomination for governor. Chris Pappas won the senate primary by a Margin of 20 to 25 percent. Maura Sullivan captured the Democratic nomination for the NH-01 house seat.

Cinde Warmington emerged as the top choice among Democratic voters in the governor's race. The primary result was finalized on Tuesday, September 8. Her Victory positioned her as the party's candidate for the November gubernatorial election.

Chris Pappas claimed the senate nomination for the Democratic Party. The vote count showed he led his closest rival by between 20 and 25 percent. The contest concluded on Tuesday, confirming his place on the ballot for the general election.

Maura Sullivan won the Democratic primary for New Hampshire's first congressional district. The result was certified on Tuesday, September 8. Her nomination added to the party's slate of candidates for the upcoming federal race.

The Tuesday primaries delivered a uniform Victory for Democrats across the state's top contests.

Analysis

The sweep gives the state Democratic Party a clear set of candidates heading into the November contests, which could help streamline fundraising and messaging efforts. However, the ultimate impact will depend on the strength of the Republican opposition and voter turnout in the general election.

Warmington's win places her at the forefront of a gubernatorial race that historically swings between parties, meaning her campaign will need to appeal beyond the primary electorate. Her performance in the primary suggests solid support among Democratic voters, but the broader state electorate remains undetermined.

Sullivan's nomination completes the Democratic ticket for the NH-01 house race, giving the party a full slate, though the competitiveness of that district will shape the final outcome.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?: Yes, 96% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Chris Pappas, 97% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Maura Sullivan, 89% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Cinde Warmington, 99% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory: Pappas 20–25%, 16% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
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