# United Russia secured 325, 339 seats in Duma election

*Politics. 26% certain. Monday, 21 September 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The Communist Party placed second and Turnout fell below 56 percent.**

United Russia secured between 325 and 339 seats in the state Duma on Sunday. The party failed to add seats compared with its 2021 result. The outcome left the ruling party short of expanding its Parliamentary dominance.

The Communist Party of the Russian Federation finished in second place in the vote. It outperformed the Liberal Democratic Party, which took third. Both parties improved their standing relative to the ruling party's share. The ranking reflected a shift among opposition forces.

The lower participation level contrasted with previous elections. The result showed reduced public engagement.

The New People party won fewer than 35 seats in the Duma. Its representation fell short of the 35-seat mark that would have given it a larger bloc. The result placed New People behind both the Communist and Liberal Democratic parties.

United Russia's seat total of 325-339 kept it above the 225-seat majority threshold but did not surpass its earlier count. The party's inability to grow its caucus signaled a contraction in its Parliamentary grip. The opposition's improved rankings altered the Duma's composition. The results were certified on Monday following the Sunday vote.

## Analysis

The election reduced United Russia's seat count relative to its previous standing, indicating a loss of momentum for the ruling party. While it retained a majority, the narrower margin may limit its ability to push legislation without broader consensus.

The Communist Party's second-place finish and the Liberal Democratic Party's third position suggest a re-ordering of opposition strength. Their improved rankings could translate into greater influence over Parliamentary debates and committee assignments.

Turnout falling to the 53-56 percent range points to declining voter participation, which may affect the perceived legitimacy of the New Duma. Lower engagement could also reflect public disillusionment or barriers to voting.

New People's failure to reach 35 seats limits its presence in the legislature, reducing the diversity of viewpoints represented. The combined effect of these shifts creates a more fragmented Duma where coalition-building may become more critical for policy outcomes.

## What this was built from

- **United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?**: 325–339, 43%; settles Sunday, 20 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-seats-will-united-russia-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election)
- **Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place**: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF), 91%; settles Sunday, 20 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/russia-parliamentary-election-2nd-place)
- **Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place**: Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), 53%; settles Sunday, 20 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/russia-parliamentary-election-3rd-place)
- **Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout**: 53-56%, 26%; settles Sunday, 20 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/russia-parliamentary-election-turnout)
- **Will United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?**: No, 60%; settles Monday, 21 September 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/psIyncU/will-united-russia-get-more-seats-i)
- **How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?**: <35, 85%; settles Sunday, 20 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-seats-will-new-people-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election)