# BFP won Bangsamoro Parliament election

*Politics. 63% certain. Tuesday, 15 September 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Mike Derry captured Calgary-Shaw seat in Provincial By-election on Monday.**

On Monday 14 September the BFP was declared the winner of the Bangsamoro Parliament election. The same day Mike Derry won the Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-election. On Tuesday 15 September Michael Katz secured the Republican Senate primary in Delaware. Earlier, on Sunday 13 September Genta Koja was elected governor of Okinawa.

The Bangsamoro Parliament election concluded on Monday 14 September.

The Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-election was held on Monday 14 September. Voters chose Mike Derry over Kyle Campbell. The result was certified by the Provincial electoral authority later that day.

Delaware's Republican Senate primary took place on Tuesday 15 September. Michael Katz emerged victorious, defeating John Shulli.

The Okinawa governor election concluded on Sunday 13 September. Genta Koja won the contest, unseating Denny Tamaki. The prefectural election board announced the final tally after all precincts reported.

## Analysis

The BFP's victory in the Bangsamoro Parliament election gives the party control over the autonomous region's legislative agenda, potentially shaping peace-building initiatives and local governance structures.

Mike Derry's success in Calgary-Shaw adds a new member to Alberta's legislature, which could influence the balance of party representation and affect Provincial policy debates.

Michael Katz's triumph in Delaware's Republican Senate primary positions him as the GOP nominee for the November contest, setting the stage for a competitive general election that may affect the senate's partisan composition.

## What this was built from

- **2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner**: BFP, 63%; settles Monday, 14 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563)
- **Delaware Republican Senate Primary Winner**: Michael Katz, 93%; settles Tuesday, 15 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-republican-senate-primary-winner)
- **Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner**: Mike Derry, 96%; settles Monday, 14 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/calgary-shaw-provincial-by-election-winner)
- **Okinawa Governor Election Winner**: Genta Koja, 68%; settles Sunday, 13 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/okinawa-governor-election-winner-2026)