# ECB, Bank of Canada and Chile kept rates unchanged in October

*Economics. 56% certain. Friday, 30 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The ECB met on Friday, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday and Chile on Tuesday, all leaving rates unchanged.**

The ECB, the Bank of Canada and Chile's Central Bank all left their policy rates unchanged in October. The decisions reflected a shared assessment of current economic conditions. No rate adjustments were made despite speculation of potential moves.

The European Central Bank met on Friday, 30 October, and chose to keep its key Interest rate at the existing level. The board rejected proposals for a 25-basis-point increase or a larger cut. The unchanged stance maintained the monetary policy stance set earlier in the year.

The Bank of Canada held its policy announcement on Wednesday, 28 October, and left rates steady. The committee declined a suggested 25-basis-point hike. The decision signaled confidence that inflation pressures were moderating.

Chile's Central Bank concluded its meeting on Tuesday, 27 October, with no Change to its benchmark rate. The institution dismissed a planned 25-basis-point increase. The move kept the monetary stance consistent with recent guidance.

## Analysis

The simultaneous pause indicates that each Bank judged current inflation and growth trends as not requiring further tightening or easing.

For the ECB, maintaining rates avoids disrupting the euro area's recovery and keeps borrowing costs stable for governments and businesses.

The lack of moves in Canada and Chile similarly preserves existing financing conditions, but future adjustments remain contingent on forthcoming data releases.

## What this was built from

- **ECB Interest Rates: October 2026**: No change, 96%; settles Friday, 30 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-october-2026-20260723225848778)
- **Bank of Canada Decision in October?**: No Change, 81%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-canada-decision-in-october-20260715203359314)
- **Central Bank of Colombia decision in October**: No change, 56%; settles Friday, 30 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-october)
- **Central Bank of Chile decision in October**: No change, 98%; settles Tuesday, 27 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-chile-decision-in-october-2026)