# Israel and Colombia kept rates steady as China posted 4.3-4.6% growth

*Economics. 51% certain. Wednesday, 21 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Both Central banks left policy unchanged while China's economy expanded in the third quarter.**

Israel's Central Bank left its benchmark rate unchanged in its October meeting. Colombia's Central Bank similarly kept its policy rate steady in its September meeting. China released data showing third-quarter GDP grew 4.3%-4.6% year-on-year.

The Israeli board announced the decision on Wednesday, 21 October. The rate remained at its existing level, with no cuts or hikes. This continued the stance adopted in previous meetings.

Colombia's monetary authority announced its decision on Wednesday, 30 September. The policy rate was left unchanged, avoiding any adjustment up or down. The unchanged stance followed a period of steady rates.

China's statistical agency published the third-quarter figures on Tuesday, 20 October. Growth was reported in a range of 4.3% to 4.6% year-on-year. The data contrasted with the steady monetary policies elsewhere in the week.

## Analysis

The three outcomes illustrate divergent regional dynamics. While Israel and Colombia chose to hold rates steady, China reported solid growth in its third quarter.

For Israel and Colombia, keeping rates unchanged suggests that policymakers judged current conditions as balanced, reducing the urgency for rate cuts or hikes. The decisions reflect an assessment that inflation and growth trajectories did not require immediate monetary adjustment. Maintaining the status quo can also signal confidence in existing policy frameworks.

Future developments remain uncertain. Subsequent data releases could prompt a reassessment of policy stances in Israel and Colombia, and China's growth figure may be revised as more information becomes available. External shocks or shifts in global demand could further influence the direction of each economy.

## What this was built from

- **Central Bank of Colombia decision in September**: No change, 57%; settles Wednesday, 30 September 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-september-20260630004643935)
- **China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?**: 4.3-4.6%, 51%; settles Tuesday, 20 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q3-2026-20260716161116873)
- **Bank of Israel Decision in October?**: No Change, 77%; settles Wednesday, 21 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-israel-decision-in-october)