# No new token met its launch valuation target on day one

*Crypto. 60% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Puffpaw, Metamask, StandX and Extended all fell short of their projected FDVs.**

Each token had announced a funded-valuation target for its initial day. All four valuations remained below their respective thresholds on Friday. None of the tokens reached those targets.

Puffpaw aimed for a funded-valuation above $400 million on day one. On Friday, its valuation remained below $400 million. The token did not meet its announced target.

The Metamask token set a target of exceeding $1 billion on its first day. By Friday, its valuation had not crossed $1 billion. The token fell short of its announced goal.

StandX declared a launch goal of a funded-valuation above $800 million. The token's valuation on Friday stayed under $800 million. It did not achieve the stated target.

Extended projected a funded-valuation above $500 million for its opening day. Its valuation on Friday failed to reach $500 million. The token did not meet its target.

## Analysis

When multiple tokens miss their announced valuations, it can signal that investors are exercising caution toward newly issued assets, especially those promoted with high target figures.

Such outcomes may influence future fundraising strategies within the cryptocurrency sector.

The longer-term ramifications remain uncertain.

## What this was built from

- **Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 91%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 80%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 74%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?**: No, 91%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?**: No, 75%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 82%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 91%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?**: No, 93%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?**: No, 79%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?**: Yes, 60%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 89%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?**: No, 86%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)