# Extended cleared $150 million FDV on day one

*Crypto. 60% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**StandX, Metamask, Opensea and Puffpaw all fell short of their projected FDVs on launch day.**

A wave of new crypto projects posted weak day-one fully-diluted valuations on Friday. Only the platform Extended managed to surpass its $150 million benchmark. The other four projects fell short of the higher targets they had set.

StandX launched with a goal of a fully-diluted valuation above $3 billion. One day after launch its valuation remained below that level.

By the end of its first day the figure stayed under that mark. The result placed it among the projects that missed their projected ceiling.

Opensea sought a fully-diluted valuation above $500 million at launch. Its day-one valuation failed to reach that threshold. The outcome mirrored the broader trend of modest initial pricing.

Puffpaw targeted a $100 million valuation on its debut. Extended remained the sole project to clear a notable valuation target.

## Analysis

The collective shortfall signals a cautious stance among investors toward freshly minted crypto ventures, suggesting that hype alone may no longer drive lofty initial valuations.

## What this was built from

- **Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 87%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 87%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 73%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?**: No, 93%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?**: No, 76%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?**: No, 60%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 77%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 82%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?**: No, 97%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 79%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?**: Yes, 73%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)