# Extended topped $150 million while others missed targets

*Science. 69% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Extended exceeded $150 million, while Opensea and Metamask stayed below $1 billion and $700 million respectively.**

The first day after launch saw most new crypto projects register full-day valuations below their projected levels. Only one project recorded a valuation that cleared a major benchmark.

The project named Extended posted a full-day valuation exceeding $150 million. The figure was measured one day after its launch. It therefore met the benchmark that other projects missed.

Opensea's full-day valuation was measured one day after its launch. The amount remained below the $1 billion level that had been anticipated. The project therefore fell short of that target.

The valuation did not rise above $700 million. Consequently, the project failed to reach its projected ceiling.

## Analysis

When only a single project reaches such a level while others do not, it may indicate a selective appetite for particular concepts or teams, rather than a blanket enthusiasm for the sector.

Overall, the mixed outcomes point to a cautious environment for emerging crypto projects.

## What this was built from

- **Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?**: Yes, 69%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 93%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?**: No, 94%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 90%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)