# StandX, Opensea and Extended missed launch-day FDV targets

*Crypto. 56% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Each project fell short of its promised valuation on the first day after launch.**

Three high-profile crypto projects missed their promised fully-diluted valuation targets on the day after launch. The projects were StandX, Opensea and Extended. Their valuations were evaluated on Friday 1 January, one day after each launch. All three remained below the thresholds set by their teams.

StandX's target fully-diluted valuation was set above $1 billion. The valuation one day after launch was not above $1 billion. The assessment took place on Friday 1 January.

Opensea's target fully-diluted valuation was set above $100 million. The valuation one day after launch was not above $100 million.

Extended's target fully-diluted valuation was set above $500 million.

## Analysis

When promised figures are not met, investors can reassess the credibility of tokenomics and promotional claims, potentially leading to reduced demand for similar offerings.

For developers, the shortfall creates pressure to justify the valuation methodology and to deliver additional utility or adoption to bridge the gap.

The broader crypto ecosystem could see tighter scrutiny of launch-day valuation promises, with platforms and auditors likely to demand clearer disclosure.

## What this was built from

- **Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 91%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 85%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 76%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?**: No, 56%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 78%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 96%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 85%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?**: No, 93%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?**: No, 83%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 91%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)