# Extended token fell short of $800 million FDV on day one

*Crypto. 61% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**StandX, Metamask, Opensea and Puffpaw all missed their targeted FDV thresholds on launch day.**

All five high-profile crypto tokens launched in the past week failed to meet their projected fully diluted valuations. The StandX token did not reach the $1 billion threshold one day after launch. Similarly, Metamask, Opensea, Extended and Puffpaw each fell short of their respective targets.

StandX debuted with a valuation measured below $1 billion on its first day of trading. The shortfall indicated that investor demand was weaker than anticipated. No further valuation data were reported beyond the initial day.

Metamask's launch saw its fully diluted valuation remain under $700 million after 24 hours.

The modest figure suggested limited immediate buying pressure. The data point was logged as the token's day-one FDV.

Puffpaw's valuation stayed under $200 million after its launch day. Extended recorded a fully diluted valuation below $800 million in the same period. Both tokens therefore missed the higher benchmarks set for the cohort. Their day-one numbers were documented as the final figures for that timeframe.

## Analysis

When multiple projects miss similar benchmarks, it suggests that expectations may have been set on overly optimistic premises.

Developers and early backers of the tokens may now face tighter funding environments, as lower valuations can limit the capital available for continued development. Investors who anticipated larger returns might reassess their exposure to similar projects, potentially slowing inflows to new offerings.

Such external pressures can reduce liquidity and heighten risk aversion among participants, influencing launch outcomes.

## What this was built from

- **Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 95%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 92%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 81%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?**: No, 96%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?**: No, 79%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?**: No, 61%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 82%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 99%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 96%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/metamask-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?**: No, 86%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?**: No, 99%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/standx-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?**: No, 88%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 94%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?**: No, 89%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?**: No, 94%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 79%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?**: No, 92%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?**: No, 81%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)
- **Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?**: Yes, 63%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch)